MeteoStack
United States · Numerical weather prediction

NOAA GFS model

The "American model". Free, global, four runs a day out to 16 days, the most widely redistributed forecast on Earth. Also known as American model, Global Forecast System.

Run by

NOAA / National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Resolution

~13 km (blended with HRRR 3 km over the US)

Updates · range

4 per day (00, 06, 12, 18 UTC) · up to 16 days

Where GFS is strong

Frequent updates, long range, US convective detail when blended with HRRR.

Where to be careful

More run-to-run swings than ECMWF in the medium range; can over-deepen distant lows.

How to read the GFS forecast on MeteoStack

On every city page, GFS is one row of the stack: each cell is one hour, coloured by rain, temperature, wind or cloud. Compare its row against the consensus line at the top. If GFS is far from the others, treat its outlier signal with caution, or as an early warning if it is a model that is strong in that situation (see above).

Compare GFS with