Today
4 Nov
26° 16°
0%0.0 mm
74%
9 weather models · one stack
Islamabad weather
Islamabad, Pakistan
33.71°, 73.01° · 584 m
Local time 06:17
Confidence 74%
Islamabad weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 26°C and a low of 16°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 25°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Thursday 12 November (60% of models, ~3.6 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
74%
Fri
6 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Sat
7 Nov
26° 15°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Sun
8 Nov
26° 15°
0%0.0 mm
73%
Mon
9 Nov
25° 15°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Tue
10 Nov
25° 15°
14%0.0 mm
46%
Wed
11 Nov
24° 17°
40%0.6 mm
54%
Thu
12 Nov
22° 15°
60%3.6 mm
45%
Fri
13 Nov
22° 14°
60%16 mm
33%
Sat
14 Nov
22° 15°
25%0.0 mm
61%
Sun
15 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Mon
16 Nov
23° 16°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Tue
17 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 15°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Thu
19 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Islamabad
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Islamabad on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Islamabad
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 27°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.0 mm | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm | 30°/19° · 0.0 mm | 30°/19° · 0.0 mm | 29°/20° · 0.0 mm | 28°/20° · 0.3 mm |
| ICON | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.2 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 2.1 mm |
| GEM | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm | 26°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm | 30°/19° · 0.0 mm | 30°/19° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 46/100. ICON brings 2.1 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 19° (ICON) to 28° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Islamabad weather: questions
Will it rain in Islamabad tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.2 mm.
When will it rain next in Islamabad?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 12 November: 60% of models, about 3.6 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Islamabad today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 26°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 29°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 26°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Islamabad?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Islamabad forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 46/100): ICON forecasts 2.1 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:17 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology