Today
4 Nov
23° 13°
0%0.0 mm
81%
9 weather models · one stack
Kathmandu weather
Bagmati Province, Nepal
27.73°, 85.35° · 1291 m
Local time 07:01
Confidence 81%
Kathmandu weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 23°C and a low of 13°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 23°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 16 November (67% of models, ~1.8 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
23° 13°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
6 Nov
23° 12°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Sat
7 Nov
23° 12°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Sun
8 Nov
23° 12°
13%0.0 mm
62%
Mon
9 Nov
23° 12°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Tue
10 Nov
23° 11°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 12°
20%0.6 mm
50%
Thu
12 Nov
20° 11°
20%0.0 mm
56%
Fri
13 Nov
21° 10°
0%0.0 mm
71%
Sat
14 Nov
20° 10°
25%0.6 mm
60%
Sun
15 Nov
19° 11°
33%0.6 mm
62%
Mon
16 Nov
20° 11°
67%1.8 mm
50%
Tue
17 Nov
20° 11°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Wed
18 Nov
18° 11°
33%0.6 mm
51%
Thu
19 Nov
18° 11°
100%1.5 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Kathmandu
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Kathmandu on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Kathmandu
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.7 mm | 22°/13° · 4.8 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/11° · 0.6 mm | 19°/11° · 0.6 mm | 20°/11° · 0.6 mm | 20°/10° · 0.6 mm |
| GFS | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.3 mm | 23°/13° · 0.1 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.6 mm |
| ICON | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/10° · 0.0 mm | 26°/10° · 0.0 mm | 26°/10° · 0.3 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 21°/12° · 0.0 mm | 21°/12° · 0.0 mm | 22°/11° · 0.6 mm | 21°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 22°/10° · 0.3 mm | 22°/10° · 0.0 mm | 22°/10° · 0.3 mm | 21°/11° · 0.3 mm | 22°/12° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 62/100. ECMWF brings 4.8 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 19° (AIFS) to 26° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Kathmandu weather: questions
Will it rain in Kathmandu tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Kathmandu?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 16 November: 67% of models, about 1.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Kathmandu today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 23°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 23°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 23°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Kathmandu?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Kathmandu forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 62/100): ECMWF forecasts 4.8 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology