Today
4 Nov
6° 0°
70%1.3 mm
61%
10 weather models · one stack
St Petersburg weather
St.-Petersburg, Russia
60.00°, 30.28° · 4 m
Local time 04:19
Confidence 61%
St Petersburg weather today: 10 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 6°C and a low of 0°C. Rain expected: 70% of models agree, about 1.3 mm. Tomorrow: 7°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
7° 4°
0%0.1 mm
87%
Fri
6 Nov
4° 0°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Sat
7 Nov
5° -0°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sun
8 Nov
7° 4°
13%0.0 mm
78%
Mon
9 Nov
7° 3°
29%0.3 mm
65%
Tue
10 Nov
5° 2°
17%0.3 mm
63%
Wed
11 Nov
4° 1°
20%0.0 mm
60%
Thu
12 Nov
3° 0°
60%2.8 mm
45%
Fri
13 Nov
3° 1°
100%8.2 mm
82%
Sat
14 Nov
3° 1°
75%1.7 mm
54%
Sun
15 Nov
3° -0°
67%1.2 mm
41%
Mon
16 Nov
6° 1°
33%0.0 mm
65%
Tue
17 Nov
8° 5°
33%0.0 mm
61%
Wed
18 Nov
6° 3°
50%1.7 mm
26%
Thu
19 Nov
2° 0°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around St Petersburg
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over St Petersburg on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for St Petersburg
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 6°/0° · 1.3 mm | 7°/4° · 0.1 mm | 4°/0° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.3 mm | 5°/2° · 0.3 mm |
| ECMWF | 6°/0° · 1.2 mm | 7°/3° · 0.0 mm | 3°/1° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 6°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/3° · 0.8 mm | 6°/4° · 1.0 mm |
| AIFS | 6°/1° · 1.2 mm | 7°/4° · 0.6 mm | 3°/0° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/5° · 1.2 mm | 5°/2° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 6°/1° · 1.4 mm | 7°/4° · 0.3 mm | 4°/0° · 0.0 mm | 3°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 6°/2° · 0.0 mm | 6°/3° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 7°/-0° · 1.6 mm | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 4°/1° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-0° · 0.6 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/5° · 0.0 mm | 6°/4° · 0.8 mm |
| GEM | 6°/2° · 1.9 mm | 7°/4° · 0.1 mm | 4°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 4°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.3 mm | 3°/2° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 6°/-0° · 2.6 mm | 7°/4° · 0.4 mm | 4°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 7°/5° · 1.8 mm | 6°/3° · 1.2 mm | 3°/1° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 5°/-0° · 0.3 mm | 6°/3° · 0.0 mm | 3°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 6°/-1° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 6°/4° · 2.0 mm | 8°/6° · 0.1 mm | 6°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.3 mm | 8°/6° · 0.0 mm | 6°/3° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 4°/-2° · 0.9 mm | 5°/1° · 0.0 mm | 1°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 3°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
| MET | 7°/1° · 0.4 mm | 7°/5° · 0.3 mm | - | - | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 61/100. JMA brings 2.6 mm of rain while ARPEGE has 0.3 mm; highs range from 4° (CMA) to 7° (MET). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
St Petersburg weather: questions
Will it rain in St Petersburg tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 10 weather models the median total is 0.1 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.6 mm.
When will it rain next in St Petersburg?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 70% of models, about 1.3 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for St Petersburg today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 6°C with 1.2 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 6°C with 1.4 mm. The median of all 10 models is 6°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for St Petersburg?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the St Petersburg forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 61/100): JMA forecasts 2.6 mm of rain while ARPEGE forecasts 0.3 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:19 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · MET Norway Nordic · Methodology