Today
4 Nov
11° 4°
0%0.0 mm
91%
9 weather models · one stack
Budapest weather
Budapest, Hungary
47.49°, 19.06° · 108 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 91%
Budapest weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 11°C and a low of 4°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 10°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 9 November (71% of models, ~3.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
10° 2°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Fri
6 Nov
11° 1°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Sat
7 Nov
8° 1°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sun
8 Nov
7° -1°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Mon
9 Nov
9° 4°
71%3.2 mm
36%
Tue
10 Nov
12° 7°
100%9.3 mm
69%
Wed
11 Nov
10° 7°
80%3.2 mm
27%
Thu
12 Nov
13° 4°
60%1.2 mm
14%
Fri
13 Nov
10° 4°
50%1.8 mm
11%
Sat
14 Nov
8° 3°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Sun
15 Nov
7° 1°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Mon
16 Nov
6° 2°
33%0.0 mm
56%
Tue
17 Nov
5° 0°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Wed
18 Nov
9° 5°
0%0.0 mm
62%
Thu
19 Nov
9° 7°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Budapest
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Budapest on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Budapest
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/4° · 3.2 mm | 12°/7° · 9.3 mm |
| ECMWF | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/0° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.3 mm | 11°/5° · 4.8 mm |
| AIFS | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 10°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 3.6 mm | 9°/4° · 2.4 mm |
| GFS | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/8° · 0.0 mm | 9°/8° · 30 mm |
| ICON | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 0.6 mm | 8°/4° · 13 mm | 12°/8° · 14 mm |
| GEM | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 11°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-6° · 0.1 mm | 6°/2° · 3.2 mm | 14°/6° · 20 mm |
| JMA | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.6 mm | 13°/6° · 6.8 mm | 14°/8° · 2.2 mm |
| ARPEGE | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/0° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 13°/5° · 1.2 mm | - |
| CMA | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 6°/1° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 36/100. ICON brings 13 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 6° (GEM) to 13° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Budapest weather: questions
Will it rain in Budapest tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Budapest?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 9 November: 71% of models, about 3.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Budapest today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 10°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 12°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 11°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Budapest?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Budapest forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 36/100): ICON forecasts 13 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology