Today
4 Nov
8° 6°
89%1.7 mm
77%
9 weather models · one stack
Zagreb weather
City of Zagreb, Croatia
45.80°, 15.92° · 134 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 77%
Zagreb weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 8°C and a low of 6°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 1.7 mm. Tomorrow: 10°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
10° 5°
0%0.0 mm
92%
Fri
6 Nov
10° 3°
0%0.0 mm
85%
Sat
7 Nov
9° 2°
11%0.0 mm
70%
Sun
8 Nov
8° 2°
14%0.0 mm
64%
Mon
9 Nov
14° 5°
29%0.4 mm
48%
Tue
10 Nov
15° 10°
67%6.2 mm
19%
Wed
11 Nov
13° 9°
60%4.8 mm
9%
Thu
12 Nov
16° 4°
80%4.6 mm
28%
Fri
13 Nov
14° 3°
75%3.0 mm
23%
Sat
14 Nov
8° 3°
25%0.1 mm
56%
Sun
15 Nov
8° 1°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Mon
16 Nov
7° 1°
67%1.0 mm
39%
Tue
17 Nov
6° 3°
33%0.8 mm
29%
Wed
18 Nov
8° 3°
50%1.9 mm
21%
Thu
19 Nov
10° 7°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Zagreb
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Zagreb on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Zagreb
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 8°/6° · 1.7 mm | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.4 mm | 15°/10° · 6.2 mm |
| ECMWF | 8°/6° · 1.4 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 8°/0° · 0.0 mm | 14°/4° · 0.0 mm | 16°/8° · 5.6 mm |
| AIFS | 8°/6° · 3.6 mm | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/2° · 0.0 mm | 13°/4° · 0.4 mm | 13°/8° · 24 mm |
| GFS | 7°/6° · 3.3 mm | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 8.2 mm | 12°/8° · 4.2 mm | 12°/11° · 6.8 mm |
| ICON | 10°/7° · 0.2 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.9 mm | 16°/11° · 0.6 mm |
| GEM | 7°/6° · 2.6 mm | 10°/1° · 0.0 mm | 10°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-5° · 0.0 mm | 15°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 22°/10° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 10°/6° · 1.2 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 1.0 mm | 10°/5° · 0.8 mm | 16°/5° · 5.2 mm | 14°/9° · 12 mm |
| ARPEGE | 8°/6° · 1.7 mm | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 8°/6° · 2.7 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/0° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 9°/6° · 1.4 mm | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 19/100. AIFS brings 24 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 12° (GFS) to 22° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Zagreb weather: questions
Will it rain in Zagreb tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Zagreb?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 89% of models, about 1.7 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Zagreb today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 8°C with 1.4 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 7°C with 3.3 mm. The median of all 9 models is 8°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Zagreb?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Zagreb forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 19/100): AIFS forecasts 24 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology