Today
4 Nov
30° 26°
78%3.7 mm
65%
9 weather models · one stack
Phuket Island weather
Phuket, Thailand
7.98°, 98.38° · 51 m
Local time 08:14
Confidence 65%
Phuket Island weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 26°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 3.7 mm. Tomorrow: 30°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 13 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
30° 26°
89%13 mm
73%
Fri
6 Nov
31° 25°
100%7.8 mm
84%
Sat
7 Nov
30° 25°
100%5.9 mm
83%
Sun
8 Nov
30° 26°
100%4.3 mm
87%
Mon
9 Nov
29° 26°
86%3.9 mm
68%
Tue
10 Nov
29° 26°
43%0.6 mm
41%
Wed
11 Nov
28° 25°
100%8.2 mm
85%
Thu
12 Nov
28° 25°
100%8.2 mm
86%
Fri
13 Nov
27° 25°
100%11 mm
87%
Sat
14 Nov
28° 26°
100%8.4 mm
81%
Sun
15 Nov
29° 25°
100%7.8 mm
85%
Mon
16 Nov
28° 25°
100%8.6 mm
78%
Tue
17 Nov
29° 25°
100%5.0 mm
93%
Wed
18 Nov
29° 25°
100%6.2 mm
95%
Thu
19 Nov
30° 24°
100%1.3 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Phuket Island
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Phuket Island on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Phuket Island
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/26° · 3.7 mm | 30°/26° · 13 mm | 31°/25° · 7.8 mm | 30°/25° · 5.9 mm | 30°/26° · 4.3 mm | 29°/26° · 3.9 mm | 29°/26° · 0.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 31°/26° · 5.5 mm | 30°/25° · 3.4 mm | 30°/25° · 7.0 mm | 30°/25° · 5.9 mm | 29°/25° · 12 mm | 28°/25° · 12 mm | 28°/24° · 16 mm |
| AIFS | 29°/27° · 4.4 mm | 29°/27° · 8.0 mm | 29°/27° · 9.2 mm | 29°/27° · 5.2 mm | 29°/27° · 5.2 mm | 28°/27° · 9.2 mm | 28°/27° · 7.4 mm |
| GFS | 31°/25° · 17 mm | 31°/25° · 13 mm | 31°/25° · 7.8 mm | 31°/25° · 12 mm | 30°/25° · 1.1 mm | 31°/25° · 1.8 mm | 29°/24° · 0.4 mm |
| ICON | 31°/27° · 0.2 mm | 31°/26° · 13 mm | 31°/27° · 2.0 mm | 31°/26° · 4.0 mm | 30°/27° · 1.8 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 29°/27° · 9.4 mm |
| GEM | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/26° · 0.2 mm | 31°/25° · 29 mm | 30°/25° · 15 mm | 30°/26° · 5.7 mm | 29°/26° · 23 mm | 30°/26° · 0.6 mm |
| JMA | 29°/27° · 2.2 mm | 28°/27° · 13 mm | 29°/27° · 3.6 mm | 29°/27° · 1.6 mm | 28°/27° · 3.4 mm | 29°/27° · 2.6 mm | 28°/27° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 30°/27° · 3.7 mm | 30°/26° · 5.8 mm | 30°/26° · 2.7 mm | 30°/27° · 2.4 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 32°/24° · 3.5 mm | 32°/24° · 17 mm | 31°/25° · 8.1 mm | 31°/24° · 6.3 mm | 31°/24° · 2.1 mm | 31°/25° · 3.9 mm | 32°/24° · 0.6 mm |
| CMA | 29°/25° · 9.2 mm | 30°/25° · 15 mm | 32°/25° · 11 mm | 32°/25° · 6.9 mm | 30°/25° · 7.5 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 41/100. ECMWF brings 16 mm of rain while GFS has 0.4 mm; highs range from 28° (ECMWF) to 32° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Phuket Island weather: questions
Will it rain in Phuket Island tomorrow?
Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 13 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 13 mm, ranging from 0.2 mm to 17 mm.
When will it rain next in Phuket Island?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 78% of models, about 3.7 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Phuket Island today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 31°C with 5.5 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 31°C with 17 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Phuket Island?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Phuket Island forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 41/100): ECMWF forecasts 16 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.4 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology