Today
4 Nov
35° 27°
22%0.0 mm
55%
9 weather models · one stack
Jakarta weather
Jakarta Special Capital Region, Indonesia
-6.22°, 106.86° · 18 m
Local time 08:15
Confidence 55%
Jakarta weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 35°C and a low of 27°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.9 mm. Tomorrow: 34°C. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 2.1 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
34° 27°
67%2.1 mm
42%
Fri
6 Nov
34° 27°
89%3.6 mm
66%
Sat
7 Nov
33° 26°
56%1.0 mm
36%
Sun
8 Nov
34° 27°
38%0.6 mm
37%
Mon
9 Nov
33° 27°
100%5.4 mm
77%
Tue
10 Nov
32° 26°
86%5.0 mm
66%
Wed
11 Nov
33° 26°
100%5.2 mm
76%
Thu
12 Nov
33° 26°
100%4.4 mm
82%
Fri
13 Nov
33° 26°
100%3.9 mm
80%
Sat
14 Nov
31° 27°
100%6.7 mm
80%
Sun
15 Nov
33° 26°
100%7.0 mm
80%
Mon
16 Nov
32° 26°
100%5.1 mm
83%
Tue
17 Nov
32° 26°
100%11 mm
76%
Wed
18 Nov
31° 26°
100%10 mm
82%
Thu
19 Nov
32° 27°
100%3.8 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Jakarta
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Jakarta on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Jakarta
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 35°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 2.1 mm | 34°/27° · 3.6 mm | 33°/26° · 1.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.6 mm | 33°/27° · 5.4 mm | 32°/26° · 5.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 37°/27° · 2.9 mm | 34°/26° · 6.3 mm | 33°/26° · 4.3 mm | 32°/25° · 1.2 mm | 33°/25° · 8.1 mm | 32°/25° · 7.0 mm | 32°/24° · 6.2 mm |
| AIFS | 35°/27° · 1.0 mm | 35°/27° · 3.0 mm | 34°/27° · 4.0 mm | 33°/26° · 3.8 mm | 33°/27° · 3.6 mm | 34°/26° · 5.6 mm | 32°/26° · 8.0 mm |
| GFS | 35°/28° · 0.0 mm | 35°/29° · 0.0 mm | 34°/29° · 3.2 mm | 35°/28° · 0.3 mm | 36°/28° · 0.0 mm | 34°/29° · 3.0 mm | 32°/28° · 4.5 mm |
| ICON | 36°/27° · 0.5 mm | 34°/26° · 2.1 mm | 34°/26° · 7.5 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 37°/27° · 0.3 mm | 34°/27° · 5.4 mm | 35°/27° · 1.5 mm |
| GEM | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 3.1 mm | 33°/24° · 1.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 2.7 mm | 33°/25° · 11 mm |
| JMA | 31°/28° · 0.4 mm | 30°/28° · 3.0 mm | 30°/28° · 1.4 mm | 30°/27° · 2.0 mm | 30°/28° · 1.0 mm | 30°/27° · 3.6 mm | 30°/27° · 5.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 37°/27° · 0.0 mm | 37°/27° · 0.0 mm | 35°/28° · 4.7 mm | 35°/26° · 3.4 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 36°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 2.1 mm | 35°/28° · 0.9 mm | 35°/28° · 0.3 mm | 36°/28° · 0.9 mm | 32°/28° · 5.5 mm | 34°/26° · 0.2 mm |
| CMA | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 3.6 mm | 32°/26° · 3.6 mm | 33°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 36/100. AIFS brings 3.8 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 30° (JMA) to 35° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Jakarta weather: questions
Will it rain in Jakarta tomorrow?
Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 2.1 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 2.1 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 6.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Jakarta?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 67% of models, about 2.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Jakarta today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 37°C with 2.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 35°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 35°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Jakarta?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Jakarta forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 36/100): AIFS forecasts 3.8 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology