Today
4 Nov
34° 25°
100%5.2 mm
87%
9 weather models · one stack
Ho Chi Minh City weather
Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam
10.79°, 106.63° · 7 m
Local time 08:19
Confidence 87%
Ho Chi Minh City weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 34°C and a low of 25°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.2 mm. Tomorrow: 33°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 2.2 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
33° 25°
89%2.2 mm
75%
Fri
6 Nov
33° 25°
67%1.8 mm
59%
Sat
7 Nov
33° 25°
44%0.3 mm
46%
Sun
8 Nov
33° 25°
88%5.2 mm
73%
Mon
9 Nov
34° 24°
43%0.6 mm
48%
Tue
10 Nov
33° 25°
100%3.0 mm
83%
Wed
11 Nov
32° 24°
80%6.0 mm
70%
Thu
12 Nov
30° 25°
80%6.6 mm
52%
Fri
13 Nov
32° 25°
100%8.4 mm
75%
Sat
14 Nov
32° 25°
100%6.0 mm
89%
Sun
15 Nov
32° 25°
100%4.1 mm
88%
Mon
16 Nov
31° 25°
100%6.8 mm
81%
Tue
17 Nov
32° 25°
67%1.8 mm
54%
Wed
18 Nov
33° 25°
33%0.0 mm
27%
Thu
19 Nov
33° 25°
100%2.8 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Ho Chi Minh City
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Ho Chi Minh City on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Ho Chi Minh City
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 34°/25° · 5.2 mm | 33°/25° · 2.2 mm | 33°/25° · 1.8 mm | 33°/25° · 0.3 mm | 33°/25° · 5.2 mm | 34°/24° · 0.6 mm | 33°/25° · 3.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 35°/25° · 13 mm | 33°/24° · 1.3 mm | 33°/25° · 4.0 mm | 32°/24° · 5.5 mm | 32°/24° · 9.3 mm | 32°/24° · 2.4 mm | 31°/24° · 1.8 mm |
| AIFS | 34°/27° · 6.4 mm | 33°/26° · 3.2 mm | 33°/26° · 3.4 mm | 33°/26° · 6.0 mm | 33°/26° · 2.6 mm | 33°/25° · 1.6 mm | 32°/26° · 6.0 mm |
| GFS | 34°/25° · 1.7 mm | 34°/25° · 2.0 mm | 33°/24° · 1.1 mm | 33°/25° · 2.6 mm | 32°/24° · 14 mm | 33°/23° · 0.6 mm | 32°/24° · 1.9 mm |
| ICON | 33°/25° · 15 mm | 33°/25° · 2.9 mm | 34°/25° · 2.0 mm | 33°/25° · 0.3 mm | 34°/25° · 1.8 mm | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 8.4 mm |
| GEM | 33°/24° · 5.2 mm | 31°/24° · 7.1 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 7.2 mm | 34°/24° · 4.8 mm | 33°/24° · 4.2 mm |
| JMA | 34°/26° · 9.8 mm | 34°/26° · 2.2 mm | 32°/27° · 1.8 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 5.6 mm | 34°/25° · 0.4 mm | 33°/26° · 2.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 32°/25° · 1.1 mm | 32°/26° · 1.3 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 34°/27° · 4.2 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 3.6 mm | 35°/26° · 1.8 mm | 33°/26° · 4.8 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 3.0 mm |
| CMA | 34°/25° · 3.9 mm | 34°/26° · 9.3 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 46/100. AIFS brings 6.0 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 32° (ECMWF) to 35° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Ho Chi Minh City weather: questions
Will it rain in Ho Chi Minh City tomorrow?
Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 2.2 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 2.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 9.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Ho Chi Minh City?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 5.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Ho Chi Minh City today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 35°C with 13 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 34°C with 1.7 mm. The median of all 9 models is 34°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Ho Chi Minh City?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Ho Chi Minh City forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 46/100): AIFS forecasts 6.0 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:19 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology