Today
4 Nov
19° 11°
11%0.0 mm
85%
9 weather models · one stack
Rome weather
Lazio, Italy
41.86°, 12.54° · 54 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 85%
Rome weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 11°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 19°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Saturday 7 November (67% of models, ~2.1 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
19° 9°
0%0.0 mm
94%
Fri
6 Nov
17° 12°
44%0.4 mm
36%
Sat
7 Nov
18° 11°
67%2.1 mm
56%
Sun
8 Nov
19° 11°
14%0.2 mm
78%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 13°
57%1.4 mm
41%
Tue
10 Nov
20° 17°
83%7.6 mm
77%
Wed
11 Nov
21° 16°
60%9.2 mm
39%
Thu
12 Nov
21° 16°
100%15 mm
76%
Fri
13 Nov
20° 13°
75%5.7 mm
62%
Sat
14 Nov
20° 14°
50%1.1 mm
26%
Sun
15 Nov
17° 12°
33%0.2 mm
48%
Mon
16 Nov
16° 11°
33%0.8 mm
53%
Tue
17 Nov
18° 10°
67%2.2 mm
61%
Wed
18 Nov
17° 9°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Thu
19 Nov
18° 11°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Rome
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Rome on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Rome
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.4 mm | 18°/11° · 2.1 mm | 19°/11° · 0.2 mm | 19°/13° · 1.4 mm | 20°/17° · 7.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/8° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 4.9 mm | 19°/11° · 0.3 mm | 20°/13° · 0.4 mm | 20°/16° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 19°/11° · 0.6 mm | 20°/9° · 0.4 mm | 17°/12° · 7.8 mm | 18°/14° · 4.8 mm | 19°/13° · 2.6 mm | 20°/12° · 0.8 mm | 20°/18° · 13 mm |
| GFS | 20°/14° · 1.3 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/14° · 0.0 mm | 17°/14° · 1.4 mm | 20°/16° · 12 mm |
| ICON | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 20°/11° · 0.0 mm | 15°/12° · 2.3 mm | 19°/12° · 2.2 mm | 20°/11° · 0.0 mm | 18°/10° · 1.8 mm | 21°/18° · 10 mm |
| GEM | 19°/8° · 0.0 mm | 19°/8° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.4 mm | 20°/11° · 2.1 mm | 20°/11° · 0.2 mm | 17°/9° · 18 mm | 20°/17° · 4.7 mm |
| JMA | 19°/11° · 0.6 mm | 19°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/13° · 2.8 mm | 19°/11° · 2.6 mm | 19°/10° · 0.4 mm | 19°/16° · 11 mm | 21°/18° · 3.8 mm |
| ARPEGE | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/11° · 0.0 mm | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 18°/9° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm | 19°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 0.2 mm | 17°/12° · 1.9 mm | 18°/10° · 0.1 mm | 20°/14° · 0.2 mm | - |
| CMA | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.6 mm | 15°/13° · 15 mm | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 36/100. CMA brings 15 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 15° (ICON) to 20° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Rome weather: questions
Will it rain in Rome tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Rome?
The next day most models agree on rain is Saturday 7 November: 67% of models, about 2.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Rome today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 19°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 20°C with 1.3 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Rome?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Rome forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 36/100): CMA forecasts 15 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:29 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology