Today
4 Nov
34° 25°
11%0.0 mm
63%
9 weather models · one stack
Dubai weather
Dubai, United Arab Emirates
25.06°, 55.28° · 27 m
Local time 05:16
Confidence 63%
Dubai weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 34°C and a low of 25°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 34°C. Dry: no model shows rain. No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
34° 24°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Fri
6 Nov
35° 24°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Sat
7 Nov
35° 23°
0%0.0 mm
91%
Sun
8 Nov
36° 23°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Mon
9 Nov
34° 23°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Tue
10 Nov
33° 24°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Wed
11 Nov
32° 24°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Thu
12 Nov
30° 25°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Fri
13 Nov
31° 25°
0%0.0 mm
91%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 25°
0%0.0 mm
93%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 24°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Mon
16 Nov
30° 23°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Tue
17 Nov
30° 23°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Wed
18 Nov
31° 24°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 26°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Dubai
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Dubai on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Dubai
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/23° · 0.0 mm | 36°/23° · 0.0 mm | 34°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/22° · 0.0 mm | 36°/21° · 0.0 mm | 36°/21° · 0.0 mm | 35°/22° · 0.0 mm | 32°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/24° · 0.0 mm | 36°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/24° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 36°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/24° · 0.0 mm | 36°/23° · 0.0 mm | 34°/23° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 35°/22° · 0.0 mm | 35°/21° · 0.0 mm | 35°/19° · 0.0 mm | 36°/18° · 0.0 mm | 36°/18° · 0.0 mm | 35°/19° · 0.0 mm | 34°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 29°/25° · 2.7 mm | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 35°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/23° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 35°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/23° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 35°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 35°/21° · 0.0 mm | 34°/21° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 36°/24° · 0.0 mm | 36°/24° · 0.0 mm | 36°/24° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 63/100. JMA brings 2.7 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 29° (JMA) to 35° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Dubai weather: questions
Will it rain in Dubai tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Dubai?
No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Dubai today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 34°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 33°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 34°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Dubai?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Dubai forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 63/100): JMA forecasts 2.7 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:58 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology