Today
4 Nov
33° 23°
0%0.0 mm
90%
9 weather models · one stack
Riyadh weather
Riyadh Region, Saudi Arabia
24.71°, 46.69° · 611 m
Local time 04:14
Confidence 90%
Riyadh weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 33°C and a low of 23°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 33°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Wednesday 11 November (80% of models, ~2.6 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
33° 22°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Fri
6 Nov
33° 22°
0%0.0 mm
91%
Sat
7 Nov
33° 23°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Sun
8 Nov
34° 23°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Mon
9 Nov
31° 22°
0%0.0 mm
64%
Tue
10 Nov
26° 18°
17%0.0 mm
33%
Wed
11 Nov
24° 16°
80%2.6 mm
27%
Thu
12 Nov
19° 15°
80%3.0 mm
32%
Fri
13 Nov
24° 15°
0%0.0 mm
59%
Sat
14 Nov
26° 17°
0%0.0 mm
56%
Sun
15 Nov
26° 16°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Mon
16 Nov
27° 17°
0%0.0 mm
85%
Tue
17 Nov
28° 18°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Wed
18 Nov
29° 18°
0%0.0 mm
47%
Thu
19 Nov
29° 20°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Riyadh
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Riyadh on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Riyadh
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 34°/23° · 0.0 mm | 31°/22° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 31°/22° · 0.0 mm | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 32°/22° · 0.0 mm | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/22° · 0.2 mm | 24°/17° · 2.8 mm |
| GFS | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/22° · 0.0 mm | 30°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 33°/20° · 0.0 mm | 33°/20° · 0.0 mm | 33°/21° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 26°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 35°/16° · 0.0 mm | 35°/15° · 0.0 mm | 34°/15° · 0.0 mm | 35°/19° · 0.0 mm | 35°/18° · 0.0 mm | 33°/16° · 0.0 mm | 30°/18° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 32°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.0 mm | 23°/14° · 0.2 mm |
| ARPEGE | 34°/23° · 0.0 mm | 35°/23° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 31°/22° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 33°/19° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | 34°/22° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 33/100. AIFS brings 2.8 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 22° (ICON) to 30° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Riyadh weather: questions
Will it rain in Riyadh tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Riyadh?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 11 November: 80% of models, about 2.6 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Riyadh today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 33°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 33°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 33°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Riyadh?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Riyadh forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 33/100): AIFS forecasts 2.8 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:59 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology