Today
4 Nov
8° 4°
0%0.0 mm
91%
9 weather models · one stack
Luxembourg weather
Luxembourg
49.60°, 6.06° · 316 m
Local time 02:16
Confidence 91%
Luxembourg weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 8°C and a low of 4°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 10°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 9 November (57% of models, ~1.8 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
10° 2°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
6 Nov
8° 1°
22%0.0 mm
56%
Sat
7 Nov
7° 4°
22%0.7 mm
56%
Sun
8 Nov
7° 4°
29%0.0 mm
56%
Mon
9 Nov
9° 3°
57%1.8 mm
37%
Tue
10 Nov
8° 5°
83%6.0 mm
63%
Wed
11 Nov
10° 5°
80%6.6 mm
38%
Thu
12 Nov
7° 2°
80%2.8 mm
31%
Fri
13 Nov
7° 1°
50%1.0 mm
39%
Sat
14 Nov
7° 2°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Sun
15 Nov
6° 0°
33%0.0 mm
42%
Mon
16 Nov
7° -1°
33%0.0 mm
37%
Tue
17 Nov
9° 5°
0%0.0 mm
53%
Wed
18 Nov
8° 6°
0%0.3 mm
50%
Thu
19 Nov
10° 7°
100%13 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Luxembourg
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Luxembourg on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Luxembourg
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.7 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 1.8 mm | 8°/5° · 6.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 6°/1° · 1.2 mm | 6°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 4.5 mm | 8°/2° · 2.4 mm |
| AIFS | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/2° · 0.0 mm | 4°/1° · 1.0 mm | 7°/4° · 2.0 mm | 6°/3° · 1.2 mm | 6°/2° · 1.8 mm | 7°/4° · 7.6 mm |
| GFS | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.7 mm | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/6° · 4.4 mm |
| ICON | 9°/5° · 0.0 mm | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/4° · 0.7 mm | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.6 mm | 11°/7° · 16 mm |
| GEM | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 10°/1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 6°/-1° · 0.9 mm | 7°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-3° · 19 mm | 9°/5° · 9.1 mm |
| JMA | 8°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/3° · 0.0 mm | 6°/4° · 0.6 mm | 9°/3° · 0.6 mm | 7°/2° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 6°/1° · 0.0 mm | 5°/0° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 8°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.7 mm | 8°/5° · 1.1 mm | 8°/5° · 1.2 mm | 11°/8° · 8.9 mm | - |
| CMA | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 8°/3° · 0.6 mm | 8°/6° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 37/100. GEM brings 19 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 6° (AIFS) to 11° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Luxembourg weather: questions
Will it rain in Luxembourg tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Luxembourg?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 9 November: 57% of models, about 1.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Luxembourg today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 8°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 9°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 8°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Luxembourg?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Luxembourg forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 37/100): GEM forecasts 19 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology