Today
4 Nov
10° 3°
0%0.0 mm
82%
9 weather models · one stack
Geneva weather
Canton of Geneva, Switzerland
46.22°, 6.17° · 400 m
Local time 02:15
Confidence 82%
Geneva weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 10°C and a low of 3°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 11°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Next likely rain: Friday 6 November (89% of models, ~4.8 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
11° 4°
11%0.2 mm
72%
Fri
6 Nov
11° 6°
89%4.8 mm
74%
Sat
7 Nov
11° 4°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Sun
8 Nov
10° 3°
57%1.4 mm
30%
Mon
9 Nov
12° 7°
86%6.3 mm
65%
Tue
10 Nov
13° 10°
83%22 mm
72%
Wed
11 Nov
13° 9°
80%9.0 mm
57%
Thu
12 Nov
13° 7°
100%4.2 mm
61%
Fri
13 Nov
14° 6°
50%1.8 mm
0%
Sat
14 Nov
8° 5°
25%0.0 mm
23%
Sun
15 Nov
6° 3°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Mon
16 Nov
8° 2°
33%0.0 mm
16%
Tue
17 Nov
9° 2°
33%0.0 mm
31%
Wed
18 Nov
11° 4°
50%2.3 mm
21%
Thu
19 Nov
10° 4°
100%4.5 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Geneva
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Geneva on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Geneva
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.2 mm | 11°/6° · 4.8 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 1.4 mm | 12°/7° · 6.3 mm | 13°/10° · 22 mm |
| ECMWF | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.9 mm | 11°/7° · 11 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 9°/4° · 3.1 mm | 13°/7° · 4.4 mm | 13°/9° · 0.4 mm |
| AIFS | 8°/1° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.8 mm | 9°/6° · 6.6 mm | 9°/4° · 0.4 mm | 11°/1° · 1.4 mm | 12°/8° · 13 mm | 13°/11° · 24 mm |
| GFS | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 4.8 mm | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 14°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/7° · 6.3 mm | 11°/7° · 16 mm |
| ICON | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 10°/6° · 4.2 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/6° · 11 mm | 13°/9° · 23 mm | 13°/12° · 27 mm |
| GEM | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 9°/3° · 0.5 mm | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 0.9 mm | 14°/7° · 1.3 mm | 13°/9° · 21 mm |
| JMA | 12°/0° · 0.0 mm | 12°/4° · 0.6 mm | 11°/4° · 2.8 mm | 11°/4° · 0.2 mm | 10°/1° · 0.6 mm | 12°/6° · 11 mm | 13°/10° · 27 mm |
| ARPEGE | 9°/3° · 0.0 mm | 12°/2° · 0.2 mm | 11°/6° · 7.2 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/5° · 4.0 mm | 11°/7° · 1.7 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/8° · 2.7 mm | 12°/10° · 0.6 mm | - |
| CMA | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 14°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 4.8 mm | 12°/4° · 0.3 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 30/100. ICON brings 11 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 7° (GEM) to 14° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Geneva weather: questions
Will it rain in Geneva tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 4.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Geneva?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 6 November: 89% of models, about 4.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Geneva today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 9°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 10°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 10°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Geneva?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Geneva forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 30/100): ICON forecasts 11 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology