Today
3 Nov
77° 55°
0%0.00 in
79%
9 weather models · one stack
Phoenix weather
Arizona, United States
33.43°, -112.03° · 344 m
Local time 18:14
Confidence 79%
Phoenix weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 77°F and a low of 55°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 75°F. Dry: no model shows rain. No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
75° 54°
0%0.00 in
80%
Thu
5 Nov
76° 53°
0%0.00 in
83%
Fri
6 Nov
77° 58°
0%0.00 in
77%
Sat
7 Nov
77° 61°
0%0.00 in
77%
Sun
8 Nov
78° 61°
0%0.00 in
79%
Mon
9 Nov
78° 58°
0%0.00 in
85%
Tue
10 Nov
79° 57°
0%0.00 in
84%
Wed
11 Nov
78° 58°
0%0.00 in
77%
Thu
12 Nov
77° 58°
20%0.00 in
63%
Fri
13 Nov
78° 64°
25%0.02 in
65%
Sat
14 Nov
77° 56°
0%0.00 in
45%
Sun
15 Nov
69° 52°
33%0.00 in
34%
Mon
16 Nov
69° 49°
0%0.00 in
67%
Tue
17 Nov
66° 52°
0%0.02 in
49%
Wed
18 Nov
68° 59°
0%0.00 in
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Phoenix
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Phoenix on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Phoenix
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 77°/55° · 0.00 in | 75°/54° · 0.00 in | 76°/53° · 0.00 in | 77°/58° · 0.00 in | 77°/61° · 0.00 in | 78°/61° · 0.00 in | 78°/58° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 74°/55° · 0.00 in | 73°/54° · 0.00 in | 74°/53° · 0.00 in | 74°/55° · <0.01 in | 76°/59° · 0.00 in | 76°/57° · 0.00 in | 77°/58° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 74°/56° · 0.00 in | 75°/55° · 0.00 in | 75°/54° · 0.00 in | 74°/56° · 0.00 in | 77°/57° · 0.00 in | 78°/58° · 0.00 in | 80°/58° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 79°/55° · 0.00 in | 78°/52° · 0.00 in | 77°/53° · 0.00 in | 80°/69° · 0.00 in | 81°/69° · 0.00 in | 82°/68° · 0.00 in | 80°/72° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 77°/54° · 0.00 in | 75°/51° · 0.00 in | 75°/52° · 0.00 in | 76°/58° · 0.00 in | 78°/61° · 0.00 in | 76°/61° · 0.00 in | 77°/55° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 77°/47° · 0.00 in | 76°/41° · 0.00 in | 77°/40° · 0.00 in | 78°/41° · 0.00 in | 77°/40° · 0.00 in | 75°/40° · 0.00 in | 77°/38° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 77°/58° · 0.00 in | 75°/60° · 0.00 in | 77°/60° · 0.00 in | 80°/61° · 0.00 in | 81°/65° · 0.00 in | 80°/64° · 0.00 in | 82°/62° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 72°/55° · 0.00 in | 71°/53° · 0.00 in | 73°/53° · 0.00 in | 73°/53° · 0.00 in | 76°/59° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 75°/58° · 0.00 in | 74°/60° · 0.00 in | 76°/59° · 0.00 in | 77°/60° · 0.00 in | 77°/62° · 0.00 in | 78°/63° · 0.00 in | 78°/63° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 80°/57° · 0.00 in | 78°/59° · 0.00 in | 80°/60° · 0.00 in | 81°/62° · 0.00 in | 85°/62° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Phoenix weather: questions
Will it rain in Phoenix tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.00 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.00 in.
When will it rain next in Phoenix?
No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Phoenix today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 74°F with 0.00 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 79°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 77°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Phoenix?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Phoenix forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 77/100): ECMWF forecasts <0.01 in of rain while AIFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology