Today
3 Nov
53° 37°
0%0.00 in
86%
9 weather models · one stack
Salt Lake City weather
Utah, United States
40.74°, -111.96° · 1305 m
Local time 18:19
Confidence 86%
Salt Lake City weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 53°F and a low of 37°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 50°F. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Next likely rain: Saturday 14 November (67% of models, ~0.19 in).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
50° 40°
11%0.01 in
84%
Thu
5 Nov
51° 38°
0%0.00 in
89%
Fri
6 Nov
51° 38°
22%0.00 in
62%
Sat
7 Nov
53° 35°
0%0.00 in
75%
Sun
8 Nov
56° 37°
0%0.00 in
75%
Mon
9 Nov
57° 40°
0%0.00 in
75%
Tue
10 Nov
54° 39°
0%0.00 in
77%
Wed
11 Nov
56° 39°
0%0.00 in
61%
Thu
12 Nov
55° 41°
20%0.00 in
47%
Fri
13 Nov
58° 45°
25%0.00 in
38%
Sat
14 Nov
59° 40°
67%0.19 in
15%
Sun
15 Nov
48° 32°
100%0.57 in
45%
Mon
16 Nov
41° 31°
67%0.17 in
51%
Tue
17 Nov
40° 36°
67%0.14 in
15%
Wed
18 Nov
42° 34°
0%0.00 in
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Salt Lake City
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Salt Lake City on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Salt Lake City
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 53°/37° · 0.00 in | 50°/40° · 0.01 in | 51°/38° · 0.00 in | 51°/38° · 0.00 in | 53°/35° · 0.00 in | 56°/37° · 0.00 in | 57°/40° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 54°/35° · 0.00 in | 50°/37° · 0.01 in | 52°/35° · 0.00 in | 52°/33° · 0.00 in | 53°/33° · 0.00 in | 56°/37° · 0.00 in | 57°/38° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 51°/37° · 0.00 in | 49°/41° · 0.05 in | 51°/38° · 0.00 in | 51°/38° · 0.05 in | 53°/34° · 0.00 in | 58°/37° · 0.00 in | 59°/40° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 56°/36° · 0.00 in | 49°/36° · 0.02 in | 54°/40° · 0.00 in | 55°/45° · 0.00 in | 58°/46° · 0.00 in | 63°/48° · 0.00 in | 64°/51° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 53°/39° · 0.00 in | 50°/41° · 0.01 in | 51°/37° · 0.00 in | 51°/39° · 0.00 in | 51°/37° · 0.00 in | 53°/37° · 0.00 in | 55°/40° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 52°/31° · 0.00 in | 50°/32° · 0.00 in | 50°/30° · 0.02 in | 47°/32° · 0.13 in | 49°/30° · 0.00 in | 56°/34° · 0.00 in | 56°/35° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 51°/37° · 0.00 in | 51°/41° · 0.00 in | 51°/39° · 0.00 in | 49°/37° · 0.00 in | 50°/35° · 0.00 in | 56°/37° · 0.00 in | 55°/39° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 52°/37° · 0.00 in | 48°/38° · 0.00 in | 51°/36° · 0.00 in | 50°/35° · 0.00 in | 50°/34° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 53°/39° · 0.00 in | 50°/42° · <0.01 in | 50°/40° · 0.00 in | 52°/39° · 0.00 in | 55°/40° · 0.00 in | 59°/43° · 0.00 in | 58°/44° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 53°/38° · 0.01 in | 49°/40° · 0.01 in | 53°/39° · 0.00 in | 53°/38° · 0.00 in | 56°/39° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 62/100. GEM brings 0.13 in of rain while ECMWF has 0.00 in; highs range from 47° (GEM) to 55° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Salt Lake City weather: questions
Will it rain in Salt Lake City tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.01 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.05 in.
When will it rain next in Salt Lake City?
The next day most models agree on rain is Saturday 14 November: 67% of models, about 0.19 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Salt Lake City today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 54°F with 0.00 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 56°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 53°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Salt Lake City?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Salt Lake City forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 62/100): GEM forecasts 0.13 in of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:19 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology