Today
3 Nov
75° 61°
100%0.68 in
83%
9 weather models · one stack
Dallas weather
Texas, United States
32.79°, -96.82° · 140 m
Local time 19:15
Confidence 83%
Dallas weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 75°F and a low of 61°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.68 in. Tomorrow: 71°F. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
71° 56°
0%0.00 in
90%
Thu
5 Nov
75° 54°
0%0.00 in
88%
Fri
6 Nov
67° 57°
0%0.00 in
75%
Sat
7 Nov
65° 55°
11%0.00 in
67%
Sun
8 Nov
64° 52°
14%0.00 in
52%
Mon
9 Nov
68° 52°
29%0.00 in
37%
Tue
10 Nov
69° 55°
17%0.01 in
46%
Wed
11 Nov
72° 56°
0%0.00 in
71%
Thu
12 Nov
72° 57°
40%0.00 in
41%
Fri
13 Nov
71° 58°
25%0.00 in
52%
Sat
14 Nov
78° 62°
0%0.00 in
73%
Sun
15 Nov
74° 62°
0%0.00 in
78%
Mon
16 Nov
73° 52°
33%0.00 in
19%
Tue
17 Nov
68° 51°
33%0.02 in
61%
Wed
18 Nov
66° 50°
50%0.47 in
20%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Dallas
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Dallas on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Dallas
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 75°/61° · 0.68 in | 71°/56° · 0.00 in | 75°/54° · 0.00 in | 67°/57° · 0.00 in | 65°/55° · 0.00 in | 64°/52° · 0.00 in | 68°/52° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 71°/60° · 0.93 in | 71°/55° · 0.00 in | 75°/56° · 0.00 in | 67°/54° · 0.00 in | 65°/51° · 0.00 in | 64°/50° · 0.00 in | 71°/52° · 0.11 in |
| AIFS | 73°/59° · 0.57 in | 72°/52° · 0.00 in | 76°/52° · 0.02 in | 70°/59° · <0.01 in | 65°/56° · 0.02 in | 63°/52° · 0.00 in | 68°/46° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 77°/61° · 0.07 in | 71°/54° · 0.00 in | 79°/51° · 0.00 in | 73°/59° · 0.00 in | 71°/59° · 0.19 in | 58°/54° · 0.19 in | 68°/54° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 73°/62° · 0.68 in | 72°/56° · 0.00 in | 75°/54° · 0.00 in | 65°/54° · 0.00 in | 63°/55° · 0.00 in | 64°/53° · 0.00 in | 58°/54° · 0.18 in |
| GEM | 77°/58° · 0.54 in | 70°/48° · 0.00 in | 75°/47° · 0.00 in | 66°/49° · 0.00 in | 62°/43° · 0.00 in | 55°/42° · 0.00 in | 65°/38° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 75°/63° · 0.84 in | 71°/57° · 0.00 in | 75°/59° · 0.00 in | 67°/59° · 0.00 in | 66°/53° · 0.00 in | 67°/51° · 0.00 in | 71°/52° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 77°/61° · 0.79 in | 68°/56° · 0.00 in | 74°/53° · <0.01 in | 63°/57° · <0.01 in | 64°/56° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 76°/65° · 1.50 in | 71°/60° · 0.00 in | 76°/59° · 0.00 in | 71°/59° · 0.00 in | 68°/57° · 0.01 in | 67°/55° · 0.00 in | 69°/55° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 73°/63° · 0.53 in | 70°/57° · 0.00 in | 76°/58° · 0.00 in | 68°/57° · 0.00 in | 64°/50° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 37/100. ICON brings 0.18 in of rain while AIFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 58° (ICON) to 71° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Dallas weather: questions
Will it rain in Dallas tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.00 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.00 in.
When will it rain next in Dallas?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 100% of models, about 0.68 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Dallas today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 71°F with 0.93 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 77°F with 0.07 in. The median of all 9 models is 75°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Dallas?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Dallas forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 37/100): ICON forecasts 0.18 in of rain while AIFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology