Today
3 Nov
58° 47°
11%<0.01 in
77%
9 weather models · one stack
Portland weather
Oregon, United States
45.52°, -122.64° · 13 m
Local time 17:16
Confidence 77%
Portland weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 58°F and a low of 47°F. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 56°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.15 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
56° 42°
100%0.15 in
81%
Thu
5 Nov
57° 45°
22%0.00 in
73%
Fri
6 Nov
56° 44°
78%0.14 in
63%
Sat
7 Nov
61° 48°
50%0.04 in
48%
Sun
8 Nov
58° 47°
100%0.26 in
83%
Mon
9 Nov
56° 43°
43%<0.01 in
49%
Tue
10 Nov
58° 47°
20%0.02 in
60%
Wed
11 Nov
59° 48°
40%0.02 in
55%
Thu
12 Nov
57° 47°
80%0.12 in
61%
Fri
13 Nov
52° 48°
100%0.42 in
82%
Sat
14 Nov
51° 46°
100%0.19 in
72%
Sun
15 Nov
51° 45°
67%0.46 in
39%
Mon
16 Nov
55° 47°
100%0.25 in
70%
Tue
17 Nov
53° 48°
100%0.24 in
76%
Wed
18 Nov
54° 51°
100%0.25 in
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Portland
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Portland on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Portland
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 58°/47° · <0.01 in | 56°/42° · 0.15 in | 57°/45° · 0.00 in | 56°/44° · 0.14 in | 61°/48° · 0.04 in | 58°/47° · 0.26 in | 56°/43° · <0.01 in |
| ECMWF | 57°/44° · 0.06 in | 54°/40° · 0.11 in | 57°/45° · 0.00 in | 56°/42° · 0.30 in | 60°/47° · 0.03 in | 58°/47° · 0.23 in | 55°/42° · 0.07 in |
| AIFS | 57°/44° · 0.02 in | 54°/39° · 0.15 in | 56°/44° · 0.04 in | 53°/43° · 0.48 in | 62°/51° · 0.18 in | 57°/44° · 0.31 in | 56°/42° · <0.01 in |
| GFS | 57°/48° · 0.00 in | 58°/44° · 0.20 in | 59°/46° · 0.00 in | 55°/47° · 0.00 in | 61°/46° · 0.29 in | 55°/46° · 0.04 in | 58°/43° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 58°/46° · 0.02 in | 55°/40° · 0.15 in | 58°/47° · 0.00 in | 54°/44° · 0.04 in | 62°/47° · 0.08 in | 60°/47° · 0.26 in | 58°/44° · 0.22 in |
| GEM | 60°/47° · <0.01 in | 60°/44° · 0.07 in | 58°/43° · <0.01 in | 56°/41° · 0.06 in | 60°/40° · 0.03 in | 56°/45° · 0.27 in | 56°/42° · 0.26 in |
| JMA | 59°/43° · 0.00 in | 55°/40° · 0.22 in | 57°/44° · 0.04 in | 58°/44° · 0.14 in | 61°/50° · <0.01 in | 60°/48° · 0.30 in | 59°/46° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 62°/49° · <0.01 in | 60°/42° · 0.10 in | 58°/46° · 0.00 in | 54°/47° · 0.38 in | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 58°/51° · 0.01 in | 56°/44° · 0.07 in | 57°/49° · <0.01 in | 59°/49° · 0.00 in | 60°/51° · 0.00 in | 60°/52° · 0.13 in | 55°/48° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 58°/47° · 0.00 in | 57°/44° · 0.15 in | 56°/45° · 0.00 in | 56°/49° · 0.20 in | 60°/50° · 0.05 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 48/100. GFS brings 0.29 in of rain while UKMO has 0.00 in; highs range from 60° (ECMWF) to 62° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Portland weather: questions
Will it rain in Portland tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.15 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.15 in, ranging from 0.07 in to 0.22 in.
When will it rain next in Portland?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 0.15 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Portland today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 57°F with 0.06 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 57°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 58°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Portland?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Portland forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 48/100): GFS forecasts 0.29 in of rain while UKMO forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology