9 weather models · one stack

San Francisco weather

Q: Will it rain in San Francisco tomorrow?

Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.00 in, ranging from 0.00 in to <0.01 in.

Q: When will it rain next in San Francisco?

The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 89% of models, about 0.30 in.

Q: What do ECMWF and GFS say for San Francisco today?

ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 65°F with 0.30 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 64°F with 0.02 in. The median of all 9 models is 63°F.

Q: Which weather model is most accurate for San Francisco?

On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.

Q: How reliable is the San Francisco forecast this week?

The least certain day is Monday (confidence 75/100): ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in.

California, United States 37.79°, -122.41° · 24 m Local time 17:19 Confidence 80%

San Francisco weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 63°F and a low of 54°F. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 0.30 in. Tomorrow: 65°F. Dry: no model shows rain.

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The stack

Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.

16-day consensus

Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.

Today

3 Nov

63° 54°

89%0.30 in

80%

Wed

4 Nov

65° 53°

0%0.00 in

89%

Thu

5 Nov

68° 52°

0%0.00 in

88%

Fri

6 Nov

68° 53°

0%0.00 in

79%

Sat

7 Nov

70° 54°

0%0.00 in

84%

Sun

8 Nov

68° 54°

0%0.00 in

81%

Mon

9 Nov

68° 54°

0%0.00 in

75%

Tue

10 Nov

69° 52°

0%0.00 in

79%

Wed

11 Nov

65° 51°

40%0.00 in

30%

Thu

12 Nov

63° 56°

60%0.43 in

49%

Fri

13 Nov

61° 53°

50%0.67 in

40%

Sat

14 Nov

60° 53°

100%0.91 in

87%

Sun

15 Nov

59° 50°

67%0.13 in

68%

Mon

16 Nov

59° 47°

67%0.19 in

46%

Tue

17 Nov

58° 53°

67%0.32 in

44%

Wed

18 Nov

62° 55°

0%0.00 in

70%

Model spaghetti

Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.

Model maps around San Francisco

ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over San Francisco on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.

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What each model says for San Francisco

Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.

Model	Today	Wed 4	Thu 5	Fri 6	Sat 7	Sun 8	Mon 9
Consensus	63°/54° · 0.30 in	65°/53° · 0.00 in	68°/52° · 0.00 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	70°/54° · 0.00 in	68°/54° · 0.00 in	68°/54° · 0.00 in
ECMWF	65°/56° · 0.30 in	66°/54° · 0.00 in	67°/52° · 0.00 in	66°/54° · 0.00 in	70°/54° · 0.00 in	68°/54° · 0.00 in	65°/54° · 0.00 in
AIFS	61°/53° · 0.24 in	65°/52° · 0.00 in	69°/52° · 0.00 in	69°/51° · 0.00 in	70°/50° · 0.00 in	70°/51° · 0.00 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in
GFS	64°/51° · 0.02 in	65°/51° · 0.00 in	70°/51° · 0.00 in	71°/57° · 0.00 in	69°/59° · 0.00 in	67°/58° · 0.00 in	62°/57° · 0.00 in
ICON	63°/58° · 0.34 in	66°/57° · 0.00 in	69°/56° · 0.00 in	66°/55° · 0.00 in	70°/56° · 0.00 in	67°/56° · 0.00 in	67°/56° · 0.00 in
GEM	63°/51° · 0.29 in	64°/51° · <0.01 in	66°/49° · 0.00 in	64°/47° · 0.00 in	66°/49° · 0.00 in	67°/50° · 0.00 in	68°/51° · 0.00 in
JMA	62°/54° · 0.31 in	65°/54° · 0.00 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	71°/49° · 0.00 in	73°/52° · 0.00 in	72°/54° · 0.00 in	72°/52° · 0.00 in
ARPEGE	62°/54° · 0.17 in	65°/53° · 0.00 in	67°/54° · 0.00 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	-	-	-
UKMO	65°/54° · 0.33 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	70°/52° · 0.00 in	71°/53° · 0.00 in	72°/55° · 0.00 in	71°/54° · 0.00 in	70°/55° · 0.00 in
CMA	64°/55° · 0.33 in	65°/55° · 0.00 in	66°/52° · 0.00 in	67°/52° · 0.00 in	70°/55° · 0.00 in	-	-