Today
3 Nov
55° 43°
0%0.00 in
90%
9 weather models · one stack
Seattle weather
Washington, United States
47.63°, -122.32° · 59 m
Local time 17:14
Confidence 90%
Seattle weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 55°F and a low of 43°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 56°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.10 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
56° 42°
100%0.10 in
90%
Thu
5 Nov
56° 47°
11%<0.01 in
85%
Fri
6 Nov
53° 48°
89%0.31 in
81%
Sat
7 Nov
59° 50°
100%0.25 in
85%
Sun
8 Nov
56° 47°
100%0.26 in
92%
Mon
9 Nov
53° 42°
57%0.07 in
49%
Tue
10 Nov
59° 50°
60%0.15 in
37%
Wed
11 Nov
58° 49°
60%0.14 in
48%
Thu
12 Nov
56° 47°
100%0.22 in
76%
Fri
13 Nov
53° 49°
100%0.30 in
81%
Sat
14 Nov
51° 46°
100%0.22 in
89%
Sun
15 Nov
52° 46°
67%0.31 in
62%
Mon
16 Nov
52° 46°
67%0.18 in
59%
Tue
17 Nov
54° 46°
67%0.07 in
42%
Wed
18 Nov
57° 48°
100%0.16 in
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Seattle
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Seattle on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Seattle
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 55°/43° · 0.00 in | 56°/42° · 0.10 in | 56°/47° · <0.01 in | 53°/48° · 0.31 in | 59°/50° · 0.25 in | 56°/47° · 0.26 in | 53°/42° · 0.07 in |
| ECMWF | 55°/45° · 0.00 in | 56°/43° · 0.08 in | 57°/47° · 0.00 in | 53°/48° · 0.31 in | 57°/46° · 0.09 in | 56°/48° · 0.27 in | 52°/41° · 0.22 in |
| AIFS | 55°/43° · 0.00 in | 56°/41° · 0.13 in | 56°/49° · 0.07 in | 53°/49° · 0.44 in | 61°/52° · 0.36 in | 55°/45° · 0.31 in | 55°/42° · 0.07 in |
| GFS | 55°/43° · 0.00 in | 56°/41° · 0.08 in | 56°/47° · <0.01 in | 52°/47° · 0.03 in | 59°/48° · 0.42 in | 54°/44° · 0.26 in | 54°/40° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 54°/43° · 0.00 in | 54°/41° · 0.06 in | 56°/47° · 0.00 in | 51°/47° · 0.50 in | 61°/50° · 0.20 in | 56°/47° · 0.19 in | 51°/42° · 0.32 in |
| GEM | 57°/45° · 0.00 in | 58°/42° · 0.10 in | 56°/47° · 0.00 in | 53°/48° · 0.18 in | 60°/52° · 0.06 in | 55°/47° · 0.17 in | 52°/43° · 0.18 in |
| JMA | 54°/41° · 0.00 in | 55°/37° · 0.17 in | 56°/47° · <0.01 in | 55°/48° · 0.33 in | 60°/50° · 0.19 in | 57°/46° · 0.28 in | 55°/42° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 53°/43° · 0.00 in | 56°/42° · 0.11 in | 57°/49° · <0.01 in | 52°/49° · 0.34 in | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 55°/46° · 0.00 in | 55°/43° · 0.09 in | 57°/49° · 0.02 in | 54°/49° · 0.26 in | 59°/53° · 0.30 in | 56°/49° · 0.18 in | 53°/44° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 54°/45° · 0.00 in | 58°/43° · 0.17 in | 57°/45° · 0.01 in | 53°/49° · 0.24 in | 57°/45° · 0.46 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 49/100. ICON brings 0.32 in of rain while GFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 51° (ICON) to 55° (AIFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Seattle weather: questions
Will it rain in Seattle tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.10 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.10 in, ranging from 0.06 in to 0.17 in.
When will it rain next in Seattle?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 0.10 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Seattle today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 55°F with 0.00 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 55°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 55°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Seattle?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Seattle forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 49/100): ICON forecasts 0.32 in of rain while GFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology