Today
4 Nov
26° 17°
0%0.0 mm
84%
9 weather models · one stack
Alexandria weather
Alexandria Governorate, Egypt
31.18°, 29.96° · 9 m
Local time 03:19
Confidence 84%
Alexandria weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 26°C and a low of 17°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 24°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 1.2 mm. Next likely rain: Friday 6 November (56% of models, ~1.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
24° 20°
22%0.4 mm
68%
Fri
6 Nov
23° 20°
56%1.2 mm
52%
Sat
7 Nov
22° 19°
44%0.2 mm
51%
Sun
8 Nov
22° 19°
14%0.0 mm
77%
Mon
9 Nov
23° 18°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Tue
10 Nov
22° 18°
17%0.0 mm
75%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 17°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Thu
12 Nov
23° 17°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Fri
13 Nov
24° 16°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Sat
14 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Sun
15 Nov
24° 19°
0%0.0 mm
96%
Mon
16 Nov
22° 19°
33%0.9 mm
55%
Tue
17 Nov
22° 18°
33%0.0 mm
44%
Wed
18 Nov
22° 17°
0%0.5 mm
70%
Thu
19 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Alexandria
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Alexandria on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Alexandria
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 0.4 mm | 23°/20° · 1.2 mm | 22°/19° · 0.2 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 1.1 mm | 22°/17° · 8.1 mm | 21°/18° · 1.3 mm | 21°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 25°/21° · 0.0 mm | 23°/21° · 0.6 mm | 22°/20° · 2.1 mm | 22°/20° · 1.5 mm | 22°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 21°/19° · 1.2 mm |
| GFS | 25°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/21° · 0.4 mm | 22°/20° · 0.6 mm | 22°/20° · 1.7 mm | 23°/19° · 2.2 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 21°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 23°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 6.5 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 22°/20° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 0.0 mm | 23°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 25°/22° · 0.4 mm | 24°/21° · 0.1 mm | 23°/21° · 0.2 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 27°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 0.7 mm | 23°/18° · 4.5 mm | 22°/17° · 1.5 mm | 22°/18° · 0.0 mm | 21°/16° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 1.2 mm | 23°/19° · 1.2 mm | 21°/18° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 51/100. GFS brings 1.7 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 21° (ECMWF) to 23° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Alexandria weather: questions
Will it rain in Alexandria tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 1.2 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.4 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 1.2 mm.
When will it rain next in Alexandria?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 6 November: 56% of models, about 1.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Alexandria today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 28°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 25°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 26°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Alexandria?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Alexandria forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 51/100): GFS forecasts 1.7 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:38 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology