Today
4 Nov
15° 10°
100%5.8 mm
88%
9 weather models · one stack
Ankara weather
Ankara, Republic of Türkiye
39.96°, 32.81° · 865 m
Local time 04:14
Confidence 88%
Ankara weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 15°C and a low of 10°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.8 mm. Tomorrow: 12°C. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 1.3 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
12° 6°
56%1.3 mm
52%
Fri
6 Nov
10° 4°
0%0.0 mm
85%
Sat
7 Nov
8° 2°
11%0.0 mm
76%
Sun
8 Nov
7° 1°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Mon
9 Nov
9° 1°
0%0.0 mm
71%
Tue
10 Nov
10° 1°
0%0.0 mm
74%
Wed
11 Nov
13° 2°
20%0.0 mm
48%
Thu
12 Nov
17° 8°
60%1.2 mm
30%
Fri
13 Nov
14° 10°
75%3.5 mm
52%
Sat
14 Nov
16° 10°
50%3.0 mm
43%
Sun
15 Nov
11° 7°
33%0.4 mm
44%
Mon
16 Nov
7° 5°
33%0.0 mm
15%
Tue
17 Nov
9° 5°
67%1.6 mm
21%
Wed
18 Nov
10° 5°
0%0.0 mm
66%
Thu
19 Nov
9° 7°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Ankara
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Ankara on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Ankara
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 15°/10° · 5.8 mm | 12°/6° · 1.3 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm | 10°/1° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 16°/9° · 5.2 mm | 13°/7° · 1.3 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 0.5 mm | 7°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-1° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 15°/10° · 5.6 mm | 12°/6° · 2.0 mm | 10°/5° · 0.0 mm | 7°/2° · 0.6 mm | 6°/0° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/-2° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 17°/11° · 2.1 mm | 12°/9° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.5 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 14°/6° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 15°/10° · 5.8 mm | 12°/7° · 1.3 mm | 10°/4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/0° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 10°/1° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 0.6 mm |
| GEM | 15°/9° · 8.1 mm | 11°/3° · 3.6 mm | 8°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-4° · 0.0 mm | 6°/-5° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-6° · 0.0 mm | 10°/-5° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 14°/11° · 3.6 mm | 12°/6° · 3.0 mm | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 7°/3° · 0.6 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 12°/3° · -0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 15°/10° · 7.2 mm | 12°/6° · 0.8 mm | 10°/3° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.5 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 14°/10° · 7.5 mm | 12°/7° · 0.3 mm | 9°/6° · 0.0 mm | 6°/2° · 2.1 mm | 6°/1° · 0.0 mm | 6°/2° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 14°/10° · 8.3 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 52/100. GEM brings 3.6 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 11° (GEM) to 13° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Ankara weather: questions
Will it rain in Ankara tomorrow?
Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 1.3 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 1.3 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 3.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Ankara?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 5.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Ankara today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 16°C with 5.2 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 17°C with 2.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 15°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Ankara?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Ankara forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 52/100): GEM forecasts 3.6 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology