Today
4 Nov
25° 19°
0%0.1 mm
84%
9 weather models · one stack
Beirut weather
Beirut, Lebanon
33.85°, 35.53° · 40 m
Local time 03:15
Confidence 84%
Beirut weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 25°C and a low of 19°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 23°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 1.9 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
23° 19°
78%1.9 mm
70%
Fri
6 Nov
22° 19°
100%4.9 mm
85%
Sat
7 Nov
20° 17°
100%14 mm
82%
Sun
8 Nov
20° 16°
71%1.8 mm
61%
Mon
9 Nov
20° 16°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Tue
10 Nov
20° 16°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Wed
11 Nov
21° 18°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Thu
12 Nov
22° 18°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Fri
13 Nov
22° 17°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Sat
14 Nov
22° 18°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Sun
15 Nov
23° 16°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Mon
16 Nov
23° 18°
33%0.9 mm
45%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 18°
33%0.0 mm
36%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 18°
50%0.6 mm
10%
Thu
19 Nov
21° 19°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Beirut
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Beirut on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Beirut
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 25°/19° · 0.1 mm | 23°/19° · 1.9 mm | 22°/19° · 4.9 mm | 20°/17° · 14 mm | 20°/16° · 1.8 mm | 20°/16° · 0.0 mm | 20°/16° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 26°/18° · 0.1 mm | 23°/18° · 0.3 mm | 22°/17° · 4.7 mm | 19°/16° · 16 mm | 19°/14° · 10 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 1.2 mm | 21°/18° · 9.0 mm | 19°/16° · 14 mm | 20°/14° · 1.8 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 24°/21° · 0.4 mm | 23°/21° · 1.9 mm | 22°/20° · 2.9 mm | 22°/19° · 5.4 mm | 22°/19° · 0.1 mm | 21°/19° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 24°/19° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.5 mm | 21°/19° · 3.1 mm | 19°/17° · 14 mm | 20°/16° · 0.3 mm | 20°/16° · 0.0 mm | 21°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 25°/21° · 0.2 mm | 23°/20° · 1.4 mm | 23°/19° · 4.9 mm | 22°/18° · 3.5 mm | 20°/18° · 3.6 mm | 21°/17° · 0.0 mm | 22°/17° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 23°/21° · 0.6 mm | 21°/20° · 2.1 mm | 21°/19° · 10 mm | 20°/19° · 7.8 mm | 20°/18° · 1.2 mm | 20°/19° · 0.0 mm | 20°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 26°/20° · 0.2 mm | 23°/19° · 5.1 mm | 24°/19° · 4.4 mm | 22°/18° · 22 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 3.5 mm | 22°/18° · 8.1 mm | 19°/17° · 50 mm | 20°/16° · 8.1 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 3.0 mm | 22°/16° · 5.4 mm | 21°/15° · 11 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 61/100. ECMWF brings 10 mm of rain while GFS has 0.1 mm; highs range from 19° (ECMWF) to 22° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Beirut weather: questions
Will it rain in Beirut tomorrow?
Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 1.9 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 1.9 mm, ranging from 0.3 mm to 5.1 mm.
When will it rain next in Beirut?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 78% of models, about 1.9 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Beirut today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 26°C with 0.1 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 24°C with 0.4 mm. The median of all 9 models is 25°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Beirut?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Beirut forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 61/100): ECMWF forecasts 10 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.1 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:00 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology