Today
4 Nov
26° 19°
0%0.0 mm
91%
9 weather models · one stack
Tel Aviv weather
Tel Aviv, Israel
32.09°, 34.78° · 12 m
Local time 03:16
Confidence 91%
Tel Aviv weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 26°C and a low of 19°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 24°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 1.4 mm. Next likely rain: Friday 6 November (89% of models, ~3.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
24° 18°
22%0.3 mm
72%
Fri
6 Nov
22° 18°
89%3.2 mm
76%
Sat
7 Nov
21° 17°
100%13 mm
82%
Sun
8 Nov
21° 17°
86%1.2 mm
74%
Mon
9 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Tue
10 Nov
23° 13°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Wed
11 Nov
23° 14°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Thu
12 Nov
24° 14°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Fri
13 Nov
24° 16°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Sat
14 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Sun
15 Nov
25° 19°
0%0.0 mm
92%
Mon
16 Nov
24° 19°
33%0.6 mm
54%
Tue
17 Nov
23° 17°
33%0.0 mm
46%
Wed
18 Nov
25° 19°
0%0.3 mm
55%
Thu
19 Nov
23° 18°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Tel Aviv
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Tel Aviv on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Tel Aviv
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.3 mm | 22°/18° · 3.2 mm | 21°/17° · 13 mm | 21°/17° · 1.2 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.8 mm | 22°/18° · 13 mm | 21°/15° · 16 mm | 21°/15° · 3.9 mm | 21°/13° · 0.0 mm | 21°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 26°/20° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 0.3 mm | 22°/19° · 5.1 mm | 20°/17° · 22 mm | 21°/17° · 7.5 mm | 21°/15° · 0.6 mm | 21°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 25°/21° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 0.1 mm | 23°/19° · 3.2 mm | 22°/19° · 25 mm | 23°/18° · 1.0 mm | 23°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/17° · 1.2 mm | 20°/18° · 17 mm | 20°/17° · 34 mm | 21°/17° · 2.3 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 22°/12° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 1.0 mm | 22°/15° · 13 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 24°/8° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 1.2 mm | 21°/17° · 6.6 mm | 21°/16° · 1.2 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 27°/19° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 0.6 mm | 22°/18° · 3.2 mm | 23°/17° · 7.7 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 26°/21° · 0.0 mm | 25°/20° · 1.4 mm | 22°/18° · 28 mm | 23°/18° · 3.6 mm | 21°/18° · 1.2 mm | 20°/18° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 0.0 mm | 21°/18° · 4.8 mm | - | - | - |
Tel Aviv weather: questions
Will it rain in Tel Aviv tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 1.4 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.3 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 1.4 mm.
When will it rain next in Tel Aviv?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 6 November: 89% of models, about 3.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Tel Aviv today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 26°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 25°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 26°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Tel Aviv?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Tel Aviv forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 72/100): UKMO forecasts 1.4 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:08 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology