Today
4 Nov
22° 18°
67%4.3 mm
60%
9 weather models · one stack
Casablanca weather
Casablanca-Settat, Morocco
33.57°, -7.58° · 23 m
Local time 01:18
Confidence 60%
Casablanca weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 22°C and a low of 18°C. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 4.3 mm. Tomorrow: 23°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
23° 16°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Fri
6 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Sat
7 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sun
8 Nov
27° 21°
14%0.5 mm
67%
Mon
9 Nov
26° 21°
100%8.5 mm
75%
Tue
10 Nov
25° 20°
83%2.9 mm
60%
Wed
11 Nov
24° 19°
80%12 mm
54%
Thu
12 Nov
23° 19°
80%6.9 mm
43%
Fri
13 Nov
22° 18°
100%4.6 mm
73%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 18°
75%1.4 mm
66%
Sun
15 Nov
21° 15°
67%1.1 mm
48%
Mon
16 Nov
20° 16°
33%0.6 mm
30%
Tue
17 Nov
20° 18°
0%0.0 mm
51%
Wed
18 Nov
24° 18°
0%0.0 mm
33%
Thu
19 Nov
20° 17°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Casablanca
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Casablanca on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Casablanca
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 22°/18° · 4.3 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.5 mm | 26°/21° · 8.5 mm | 25°/20° · 2.9 mm |
| ECMWF | 22°/17° · 1.4 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/20° · 0.0 mm | 26°/20° · 3.9 mm | 24°/19° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 22°/18° · 4.6 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 1.0 mm | 24°/22° · 14 mm | 27°/21° · 2.5 mm |
| GFS | 22°/20° · 0.0 mm | 21°/19° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/21° · 0.0 mm | 25°/18° · 11 mm | 26°/21° · 3.4 mm |
| ICON | 21°/18° · 6.6 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.8 mm | 23°/21° · 4.3 mm | 22°/19° · 3.3 mm |
| GEM | 24°/16° · 0.3 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/19° · 1.8 mm | 24°/19° · 3.4 mm |
| JMA | 22°/19° · 4.3 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.5 mm | 28°/22° · 8.5 mm | 26°/21° · 1.2 mm |
| ARPEGE | 22°/17° · 4.5 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 22°/19° · 5.5 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 0.0 mm | 28°/23° · 0.6 mm | 26°/21° · 9.9 mm | - |
| CMA | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 23°/17° · 0.5 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 60/100. ICON brings 6.6 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 21° (ICON) to 24° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Casablanca weather: questions
Will it rain in Casablanca tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Casablanca?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 67% of models, about 4.3 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Casablanca today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 22°C with 1.4 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 22°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 22°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Casablanca?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Casablanca forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 60/100): ICON forecasts 6.6 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:29 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology