Today
4 Nov
24° 15°
56%1.0 mm
50%
9 weather models · one stack
Marrakesh weather
Marrakesh-Safi, Morocco
31.67°, -7.99° · 458 m
Local time 01:16
Confidence 50%
Marrakesh weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 24°C and a low of 15°C. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 1.0 mm. Tomorrow: 24°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
24° 15°
11%0.0 mm
78%
Fri
6 Nov
26° 15°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sat
7 Nov
27° 15°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Sun
8 Nov
28° 18°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Mon
9 Nov
27° 18°
57%2.7 mm
22%
Tue
10 Nov
25° 17°
33%0.3 mm
41%
Wed
11 Nov
23° 17°
80%1.8 mm
46%
Thu
12 Nov
24° 17°
60%2.3 mm
37%
Fri
13 Nov
21° 15°
25%0.7 mm
55%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 14°
50%1.2 mm
46%
Sun
15 Nov
20° 14°
33%0.1 mm
58%
Mon
16 Nov
21° 15°
33%0.0 mm
57%
Tue
17 Nov
22° 15°
33%0.0 mm
32%
Wed
18 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.4 mm
56%
Thu
19 Nov
25° 15°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Marrakesh
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Marrakesh on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Marrakesh
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 24°/15° · 1.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/15° · 0.0 mm | 28°/18° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 2.7 mm | 25°/17° · 0.3 mm |
| ECMWF | 24°/15° · 3.9 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm | 27°/13° · 0.0 mm | 29°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 23°/15° · 1.9 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm | 27°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/19° · 0.5 mm | 24°/19° · 5.5 mm | 25°/17° · 0.6 mm |
| GFS | 25°/17° · 1.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 28°/20° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.0 mm | 28°/19° · 1.0 mm |
| ICON | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/18° · 0.2 mm | 21°/18° · 26 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 24°/11° · 1.2 mm | 26°/11° · 0.0 mm | 29°/10° · 0.0 mm | 29°/10° · 0.0 mm | 28°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 23°/15° · 0.6 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | 29°/20° · 6.6 mm | 23°/18° · 9.5 mm |
| ARPEGE | 23°/15° · 5.2 mm | 24°/14° · 1.7 mm | 28°/15° · 0.2 mm | 29°/15° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 24°/16° · 0.3 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | 29°/20° · 0.3 mm | 23°/18° · 2.7 mm | - |
| CMA | 24°/15° · 0.4 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 22/100. ICON brings 26 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 21° (ICON) to 29° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Marrakesh weather: questions
Will it rain in Marrakesh tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 1.7 mm.
When will it rain next in Marrakesh?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 56% of models, about 1.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Marrakesh today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 24°C with 3.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 25°C with 1.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 24°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Marrakesh?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Marrakesh forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 22/100): ICON forecasts 26 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:37 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology