Today
4 Nov
21° 17°
78%4.1 mm
60%
9 weather models · one stack
Rabat weather
Rabat-Salé-Kénitra, Morocco
33.99°, -6.85° · 41 m
Local time 01:14
Confidence 60%
Rabat weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 21°C and a low of 17°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 4.1 mm. Tomorrow: 22°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
22° 16°
11%0.0 mm
78%
Fri
6 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Sat
7 Nov
25° 17°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Sun
8 Nov
26° 21°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Mon
9 Nov
25° 20°
100%8.7 mm
78%
Tue
10 Nov
24° 20°
67%3.1 mm
47%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 19°
100%8.8 mm
76%
Thu
12 Nov
22° 19°
60%6.6 mm
30%
Fri
13 Nov
21° 18°
100%9.4 mm
63%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 18°
100%5.3 mm
85%
Sun
15 Nov
22° 16°
67%1.0 mm
54%
Mon
16 Nov
21° 16°
33%0.0 mm
37%
Tue
17 Nov
22° 16°
0%0.0 mm
64%
Wed
18 Nov
24° 17°
0%0.0 mm
52%
Thu
19 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Rabat
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Rabat on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Rabat
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 21°/17° · 4.1 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/21° · 0.0 mm | 25°/20° · 8.7 mm | 24°/20° · 3.1 mm |
| ECMWF | 21°/17° · 5.7 mm | 21°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/20° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 5.3 mm | 24°/19° · 0.1 mm |
| AIFS | 20°/18° · 10 mm | 22°/16° · 0.1 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/20° · 0.5 mm | 23°/21° · 15 mm | 25°/21° · 2.5 mm |
| GFS | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/21° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 6.9 mm | 26°/20° · 6.7 mm |
| ICON | 21°/17° · 3.8 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.0 mm | 22°/20° · 8.7 mm | 22°/19° · 3.6 mm |
| GEM | 23°/17° · 0.4 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 27°/13° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 1.2 mm | 24°/18° · 5.2 mm |
| JMA | 20°/19° · 12 mm | 21°/19° · 1.8 mm | 22°/18° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/21° · 0.0 mm | 26°/22° · 9.5 mm | 24°/21° · 0.7 mm |
| ARPEGE | 22°/17° · 4.1 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 21°/19° · 12 mm | 21°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 0.0 mm | 28°/22° · 0.6 mm | 25°/21° · 14 mm | - |
| CMA | 22°/17° · 1.8 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.7 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 47/100. GFS brings 6.7 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.1 mm; highs range from 22° (ICON) to 26° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Rabat weather: questions
Will it rain in Rabat tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 1.8 mm.
When will it rain next in Rabat?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 78% of models, about 4.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Rabat today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 21°C with 5.7 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 24°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 21°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Rabat?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Rabat forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 47/100): GFS forecasts 6.7 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.1 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:29 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology