Today
4 Nov
21° 15°
100%5.0 mm
76%
9 weather models · one stack
Fes weather
Fes-Meknes, Morocco
34.06°, -4.95° · 407 m
Local time 01:14
Confidence 76%
Fes weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 21°C and a low of 15°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.0 mm. Tomorrow: 22°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
22° 13°
0%0.1 mm
88%
Fri
6 Nov
24° 14°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Sat
7 Nov
26° 15°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sun
8 Nov
26° 18°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Mon
9 Nov
22° 18°
86%7.5 mm
64%
Tue
10 Nov
23° 17°
83%4.5 mm
60%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 16°
80%5.1 mm
51%
Thu
12 Nov
21° 16°
60%2.0 mm
31%
Fri
13 Nov
21° 14°
75%7.9 mm
52%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 14°
75%4.7 mm
60%
Sun
15 Nov
21° 13°
33%0.6 mm
46%
Mon
16 Nov
20° 14°
33%0.5 mm
28%
Tue
17 Nov
20° 15°
33%0.0 mm
17%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 14°
0%0.0 mm
49%
Thu
19 Nov
21° 14°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Fes
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Fes on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Fes
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 21°/15° · 5.0 mm | 22°/13° · 0.1 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 7.5 mm | 23°/17° · 4.5 mm |
| ECMWF | 22°/14° · 1.6 mm | 22°/12° · 0.2 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.6 mm | 25°/15° · 3.6 mm |
| AIFS | 20°/15° · 8.6 mm | 22°/13° · 0.1 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 21°/18° · 6.3 mm | 23°/17° · 5.4 mm |
| GFS | 24°/17° · 2.7 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 27°/20° · 0.0 mm | 22°/16° · 2.1 mm | 24°/18° · 0.6 mm |
| ICON | 19°/16° · 7.1 mm | 21°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.3 mm | 20°/18° · 32 mm | 20°/17° · 6.4 mm |
| GEM | 20°/12° · 6.7 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 24°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 21°/14° · 9.6 mm | 21°/14° · 1.5 mm |
| JMA | 21°/16° · 3.7 mm | 22°/15° · 0.7 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 20 mm | 22°/18° · 14 mm |
| ARPEGE | 21°/16° · 8.7 mm | 22°/13° · 0.2 mm | 24°/13° · 0.6 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 22°/14° · 5.0 mm | 22°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/19° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 7.5 mm | - |
| CMA | 23°/14° · 3.9 mm | 22°/13° · 0.7 mm | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 0.2 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 60/100. JMA brings 14 mm of rain while GFS has 0.6 mm; highs range from 20° (ICON) to 25° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Fes weather: questions
Will it rain in Fes tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.1 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.7 mm.
When will it rain next in Fes?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 5.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Fes today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 22°C with 1.6 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 24°C with 2.7 mm. The median of all 9 models is 21°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Fes?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Fes forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 60/100): JMA forecasts 14 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.6 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:38 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology