Today
4 Nov
21° 17°
89%4.6 mm
75%
9 weather models · one stack
Oran weather
Oran Province, Algeria
35.68°, -0.58° · 108 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 75%
Oran weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 21°C and a low of 17°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 4.6 mm. Tomorrow: 22°C. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 2.4 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
22° 16°
33%0.2 mm
64%
Fri
6 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Sat
7 Nov
24° 15°
0%0.0 mm
91%
Sun
8 Nov
24° 17°
0%0.0 mm
71%
Mon
9 Nov
29° 21°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Tue
10 Nov
27° 21°
17%0.0 mm
67%
Wed
11 Nov
24° 20°
60%1.0 mm
35%
Thu
12 Nov
25° 18°
20%0.8 mm
54%
Fri
13 Nov
24° 18°
25%0.0 mm
54%
Sat
14 Nov
22° 16°
75%1.6 mm
47%
Sun
15 Nov
21° 17°
67%2.0 mm
40%
Mon
16 Nov
21° 16°
33%0.0 mm
47%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 15°
33%0.0 mm
41%
Wed
18 Nov
22° 15°
0%0.0 mm
66%
Thu
19 Nov
22° 16°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Oran
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Oran on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Oran
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 21°/17° · 4.6 mm | 22°/16° · 0.2 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 29°/21° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 22°/17° · 2.9 mm | 23°/16° · 0.7 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 29°/21° · 0.0 mm | 28°/20° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 21°/18° · 8.4 mm | 22°/18° · 2.4 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/20° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 22°/18° · 4.2 mm | 22°/17° · 0.2 mm | 23°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/19° · 0.0 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/20° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 21°/17° · 4.6 mm | 22°/16° · 0.1 mm | 22°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/18° · 0.0 mm | 29°/18° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 1.2 mm |
| GEM | 20°/14° · 1.1 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 21°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.3 mm | 29°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 21°/16° · 11 mm | 22°/16° · 2.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.0 mm | 30°/22° · 0.4 mm |
| ARPEGE | 19°/17° · 7.0 mm | 22°/15° · 0.1 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 21°/16° · 7.5 mm | 22°/16° · 1.7 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 30°/23° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 22°/16° · 0.3 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 64/100. AIFS brings 2.4 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 22° (ICON) to 23° (CMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Oran weather: questions
Will it rain in Oran tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 2.4 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 2.4 mm.
When will it rain next in Oran?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 89% of models, about 4.6 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Oran today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 22°C with 2.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 22°C with 4.2 mm. The median of all 9 models is 21°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Oran?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Oran forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 64/100): AIFS forecasts 2.4 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:38 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology