Today
4 Nov
31° 25°
44%0.9 mm
41%
9 weather models · one stack
Cebu City weather
Central Visayas, Philippines
10.30°, 123.85° · 43 m
Local time 09:20
Confidence 41%
Cebu City weather today: 9 models agree with low confidence on a high of 31°C and a low of 25°C. A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 5.7 mm. Tomorrow: 31°C. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 1.8 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
31° 26°
67%1.8 mm
55%
Fri
6 Nov
31° 25°
78%4.5 mm
69%
Sat
7 Nov
31° 26°
78%3.6 mm
67%
Sun
8 Nov
30° 26°
63%3.3 mm
50%
Mon
9 Nov
30° 25°
86%2.7 mm
73%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 26°
71%1.8 mm
62%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 26°
60%3.0 mm
45%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 26°
60%6.0 mm
45%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 26°
60%2.7 mm
42%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 26°
75%4.5 mm
61%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 25°
67%1.5 mm
58%
Mon
16 Nov
31° 26°
67%1.2 mm
58%
Tue
17 Nov
31° 24°
67%3.6 mm
63%
Wed
18 Nov
30° 24°
67%6.0 mm
52%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 24°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Cebu City
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Cebu City on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Cebu City
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 31°/25° · 0.9 mm | 31°/26° · 1.8 mm | 31°/25° · 4.5 mm | 31°/26° · 3.6 mm | 30°/26° · 3.3 mm | 30°/25° · 2.7 mm | 31°/26° · 1.8 mm |
| ECMWF | 31°/25° · 2.1 mm | 31°/25° · 1.4 mm | 31°/25° · 4.6 mm | 29°/24° · 13 mm | 29°/23° · 9.0 mm | 30°/24° · 2.7 mm | 31°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 33°/26° · 2.1 mm | 32°/27° · 4.2 mm | 31°/27° · 5.4 mm | 31°/26° · 6.0 mm | 31°/26° · 5.4 mm | 31°/26° · 4.2 mm | 31°/26° · 12 mm |
| GFS | 31°/24° · 0.1 mm | 30°/24° · 3.1 mm | 30°/24° · 1.0 mm | 30°/23° · 3.6 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 30°/24° · 1.2 mm | 29°/23° · 2.7 mm |
| ICON | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.4 mm | 31°/25° · 1.0 mm | 31°/26° · 1.1 mm | 30°/25° · 1.2 mm | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/24° · 1.8 mm |
| GEM | 31°/26° · 5.7 mm | 31°/26° · 9.4 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 3.9 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 3.6 mm | 31°/27° · 0.3 mm |
| JMA | 30°/26° · 2.4 mm | 29°/27° · 1.8 mm | 29°/26° · 6.3 mm | 29°/26° · 5.4 mm | 28°/26° · 9.3 mm | 29°/26° · 3.6 mm | 29°/26° · 2.1 mm |
| ARPEGE | 30°/26° · 0.9 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.1 mm | 30°/25° · 4.5 mm | 31°/26° · 2.4 mm | 29°/25° · 8.1 mm | 30°/25° · 2.1 mm | 30°/26° · 1.2 mm |
| CMA | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 3.0 mm | 31°/26° · 5.7 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 41/100. GEM brings 5.7 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 30° (JMA) to 33° (AIFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Cebu City weather: questions
Will it rain in Cebu City tomorrow?
Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 1.8 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 1.8 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 9.4 mm.
When will it rain next in Cebu City?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 67% of models, about 1.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Cebu City today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 31°C with 2.1 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 31°C with 0.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 31°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Cebu City?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Cebu City forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 41/100): GEM forecasts 5.7 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:17 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology