Today
4 Nov
30° 26°
78%1.9 mm
61%
9 weather models · one stack
Denpasar weather
Bali, Indonesia
-8.68°, 115.19° · 35 m
Local time 09:16
Confidence 61%
Denpasar weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 26°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 1.9 mm. Tomorrow: 30°C. A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 3.3 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
30° 25°
44%0.9 mm
38%
Fri
6 Nov
30° 25°
0%0.2 mm
78%
Sat
7 Nov
30° 25°
44%0.1 mm
37%
Sun
8 Nov
31° 25°
38%0.3 mm
45%
Mon
9 Nov
31° 25°
43%0.7 mm
38%
Tue
10 Nov
30° 25°
43%0.6 mm
37%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 25°
80%1.8 mm
56%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 25°
80%2.1 mm
61%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 25°
60%1.2 mm
42%
Sat
14 Nov
31° 25°
100%1.7 mm
75%
Sun
15 Nov
31° 25°
100%6.0 mm
70%
Mon
16 Nov
30° 25°
100%7.2 mm
72%
Tue
17 Nov
30° 25°
67%6.6 mm
48%
Wed
18 Nov
30° 25°
100%6.6 mm
83%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 23°
100%2.7 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Denpasar
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Denpasar on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Denpasar
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/26° · 1.9 mm | 30°/25° · 0.9 mm | 30°/25° · 0.2 mm | 30°/25° · 0.1 mm | 31°/25° · 0.3 mm | 31°/25° · 0.7 mm | 30°/25° · 0.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 30°/24° · 1.9 mm | 32°/25° · 0.9 mm | 32°/24° · 0.4 mm | 32°/25° · 3.4 mm | 31°/25° · 4.8 mm | 30°/24° · 4.8 mm | 30°/24° · 3.6 mm |
| AIFS | 29°/24° · 2.1 mm | 29°/25° · 1.5 mm | 29°/25° · 0.6 mm | 28°/25° · 1.2 mm | 29°/25° · 3.0 mm | 29°/25° · 5.4 mm | 28°/25° · 4.8 mm |
| GFS | 33°/24° · 1.1 mm | 33°/24° · 2.2 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 1.6 mm | 33°/23° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 0.7 mm | 33°/23° · 0.6 mm |
| ICON | 30°/26° · 0.5 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/26° · 0.2 mm | 30°/27° · 0.1 mm | 30°/27° · 0.3 mm | 31°/27° · 0.6 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 29°/26° · 9.5 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 30°/26° · 1.2 mm | 29°/26° · 3.3 mm | 29°/26° · 0.6 mm | 29°/26° · 1.2 mm | 28°/25° · 1.5 mm | 29°/25° · 0.3 mm | 29°/24° · 1.2 mm |
| ARPEGE | 29°/26° · 2.3 mm | 28°/26° · 1.6 mm | 28°/26° · 0.0 mm | 29°/26° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 30°/26° · 4.5 mm | 30°/25° · 0.6 mm | 30°/25° · 0.5 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.3 mm | 32°/26° · 1.5 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/25° · 0.6 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 37/100. ECMWF brings 3.4 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 28° (AIFS) to 33° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Denpasar weather: questions
Will it rain in Denpasar tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 3.3 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.9 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 3.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Denpasar?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 78% of models, about 1.9 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Denpasar today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 30°C with 1.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 33°C with 1.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Denpasar?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Denpasar forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 37/100): ECMWF forecasts 3.4 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology