Today
4 Nov
33° 27°
0%0.0 mm
78%
9 weather models · one stack
Jeddah weather
Mecca Region, Saudi Arabia
21.48°, 39.16° · 2 m
Local time 04:15
Confidence 78%
Jeddah weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 33°C and a low of 27°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 33°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Friday 13 November (50% of models, ~1.0 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
33° 26°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Fri
6 Nov
34° 26°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Sat
7 Nov
32° 26°
11%0.0 mm
64%
Sun
8 Nov
32° 27°
13%0.0 mm
58%
Mon
9 Nov
31° 25°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 27°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Thu
12 Nov
32° 26°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 27°
50%1.0 mm
32%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 27°
50%0.5 mm
38%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.6 mm
89%
Mon
16 Nov
31° 26°
0%0.6 mm
90%
Tue
17 Nov
32° 26°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Wed
18 Nov
31° 27°
0%0.0 mm
61%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 27°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Jeddah
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Jeddah on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Jeddah
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 33°/27° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 33°/27° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.1 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 33°/29° · 0.0 mm | 33°/28° · 0.0 mm | 34°/28° · 0.0 mm | 30°/28° · 10 mm | 31°/27° · 3.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.6 mm |
| GFS | 32°/28° · 0.0 mm | 32°/29° · 0.0 mm | 32°/28° · 0.0 mm | 32°/28° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/24° · 0.0 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/24° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.3 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 30°/29° · 0.0 mm | 30°/29° · 0.0 mm | 30°/29° · 0.0 mm | 30°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/29° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 35°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.1 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 37°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/25° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 34°/26° · 0.0 mm | 33°/27° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 58/100. AIFS brings 3.0 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 29° (JMA) to 37° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Jeddah weather: questions
Will it rain in Jeddah tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Jeddah?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 13 November: 50% of models, about 1.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Jeddah today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 33°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 32°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 33°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Jeddah?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Jeddah forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 58/100): AIFS forecasts 3.0 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:59 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology