Today
4 Nov
22° 9°
0%0.0 mm
84%
9 weather models · one stack
Addis Ababa weather
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
9.03°, 38.77° · 2410 m
Local time 04:16
Confidence 84%
Addis Ababa weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 22°C and a low of 9°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 23°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 9 November (57% of models, ~1.8 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
23° 9°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Fri
6 Nov
23° 10°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Sat
7 Nov
24° 11°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sun
8 Nov
23° 11°
38%0.3 mm
49%
Mon
9 Nov
22° 12°
57%1.8 mm
42%
Tue
10 Nov
22° 11°
83%3.9 mm
55%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 11°
40%0.4 mm
55%
Thu
12 Nov
22° 11°
20%0.3 mm
70%
Fri
13 Nov
22° 12°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Sat
14 Nov
22° 11°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Sun
15 Nov
23° 9°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Mon
16 Nov
21° 10°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 11°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 12°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Thu
19 Nov
23° 9°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Addis Ababa
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Addis Ababa on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Addis Ababa
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.3 mm | 22°/12° · 1.8 mm | 22°/11° · 3.9 mm |
| ECMWF | 22°/8° · 0.0 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.3 mm | 22°/12° · 3.3 mm | 18°/11° · 6.0 mm |
| AIFS | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 24°/11° · 0.0 mm | 24°/11° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 1.4 mm | 23°/13° · 1.8 mm | 22°/13° · 3.0 mm |
| GFS | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 24°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 1.5 mm | 22°/11° · 3.3 mm | 21°/11° · 1.2 mm |
| ICON | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/10° · 0.3 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 23°/5° · 0.0 mm | 24°/5° · 0.0 mm | 24°/5° · 0.0 mm | 25°/6° · 0.0 mm | 25°/7° · 0.0 mm | 23°/8° · 0.9 mm | 24°/7° · 4.8 mm |
| JMA | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/10° · 0.0 mm | 23°/12° · 1.2 mm | 19°/14° · 5.0 mm | 20°/14° · 5.4 mm |
| ARPEGE | 24°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 22°/8° · 0.0 mm | 22°/8° · 0.0 mm | 21°/8° · 0.0 mm | 22°/7° · 0.0 mm | 22°/7° · 0.0 mm | 22°/8° · 0.2 mm | - |
| CMA | 21°/9° · 0.0 mm | 21°/9° · 0.0 mm | 21°/9° · 0.0 mm | 22°/11° · 0.0 mm | 21°/12° · 0.3 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 42/100. JMA brings 5.0 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 19° (JMA) to 23° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Addis Ababa weather: questions
Will it rain in Addis Ababa tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Addis Ababa?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 9 November: 57% of models, about 1.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Addis Ababa today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 22°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 22°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 22°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Addis Ababa?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Addis Ababa forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 42/100): JMA forecasts 5.0 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:49 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology