Today
4 Nov
13° 9°
0%0.0 mm
85%
9 weather models · one stack
Milan weather
Lombardy, Italy
45.45°, 9.17° · 142 m
Local time 02:15
Confidence 85%
Milan weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 13°C and a low of 9°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 13°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 9 November (100% of models, ~6.8 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
13° 8°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Fri
6 Nov
12° 7°
44%0.9 mm
41%
Sat
7 Nov
12° 8°
33%0.0 mm
53%
Sun
8 Nov
12° 7°
14%0.4 mm
67%
Mon
9 Nov
10° 9°
100%6.8 mm
90%
Tue
10 Nov
10° 9°
100%6.4 mm
91%
Wed
11 Nov
11° 9°
80%3.2 mm
60%
Thu
12 Nov
13° 10°
60%1.6 mm
52%
Fri
13 Nov
16° 10°
25%0.0 mm
48%
Sat
14 Nov
12° 9°
50%1.5 mm
50%
Sun
15 Nov
11° 7°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Mon
16 Nov
9° 5°
33%0.0 mm
37%
Tue
17 Nov
11° 5°
0%0.5 mm
72%
Wed
18 Nov
10° 6°
50%1.7 mm
37%
Thu
19 Nov
12° 8°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Milan
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Milan on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Milan
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 13°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.9 mm | 12°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.4 mm | 10°/9° · 6.8 mm | 10°/9° · 6.4 mm |
| ECMWF | 14°/10° · 0.0 mm | 13°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/8° · 0.9 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/9° · 1.3 mm | 10°/9° · 1.0 mm |
| AIFS | 12°/9° · 0.0 mm | 13°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/7° · 4.8 mm | 12°/8° · 1.8 mm | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 10°/9° · 3.8 mm | 11°/9° · 7.0 mm |
| GFS | 13°/11° · 0.1 mm | 14°/10° · 0.0 mm | 14°/11° · 0.0 mm | 14°/11° · 0.0 mm | 14°/11° · 0.9 mm | 11°/9° · 3.0 mm | 10°/9° · 4.5 mm |
| ICON | 13°/10° · 0.0 mm | 14°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 2.9 mm | 11°/7° · 0.1 mm | 10°/8° · 5.8 mm | 10°/9° · 9.0 mm | 10°/9° · 24 mm |
| GEM | 14°/7° · 0.0 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 4.4 mm | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.1 mm | 10°/6° · 7.5 mm | 10°/8° · 20 mm |
| JMA | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 12°/10° · 0.6 mm | 12°/9° · 0.6 mm | 11°/9° · 2.4 mm | 13°/7° · 0.4 mm | 12°/8° · 6.8 mm | 12°/8° · 5.8 mm |
| ARPEGE | 15°/9° · 0.4 mm | 15°/10° · 0.0 mm | 10°/6° · 2.1 mm | 11°/7° · 1.1 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 13°/11° · 0.3 mm | 14°/10° · 0.0 mm | 13°/10° · 0.6 mm | 13°/11° · 0.0 mm | 12°/10° · 0.7 mm | 10°/9° · 19 mm | - |
| CMA | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 41/100. AIFS brings 4.8 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 10° (ARPEGE) to 14° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Milan weather: questions
Will it rain in Milan tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Milan?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 9 November: 100% of models, about 6.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Milan today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 14°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 13°C with 0.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 13°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Milan?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Milan forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 41/100): AIFS forecasts 4.8 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology