Today
4 Nov
16° 12°
78%2.2 mm
65%
9 weather models · one stack
Nice weather
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, France
43.69°, 7.19° · 17 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 65%
Nice weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 16°C and a low of 12°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 2.2 mm. Tomorrow: 16°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 11 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
16° 13°
100%11 mm
73%
Fri
6 Nov
16° 12°
89%6.7 mm
71%
Sat
7 Nov
16° 10°
33%0.0 mm
57%
Sun
8 Nov
15° 12°
43%0.6 mm
44%
Mon
9 Nov
16° 14°
86%7.6 mm
73%
Tue
10 Nov
18° 15°
100%20 mm
84%
Wed
11 Nov
18° 15°
100%19 mm
80%
Thu
12 Nov
18° 14°
40%0.2 mm
49%
Fri
13 Nov
18° 12°
25%0.0 mm
59%
Sat
14 Nov
18° 12°
25%0.3 mm
58%
Sun
15 Nov
17° 10°
33%0.0 mm
53%
Mon
16 Nov
14° 9°
33%0.0 mm
36%
Tue
17 Nov
16° 11°
0%0.0 mm
73%
Wed
18 Nov
16° 11°
0%0.0 mm
62%
Thu
19 Nov
16° 10°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Nice
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Nice on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Nice
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 16°/12° · 2.2 mm | 16°/13° · 11 mm | 16°/12° · 6.7 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 15°/12° · 0.6 mm | 16°/14° · 7.6 mm | 18°/15° · 20 mm |
| ECMWF | 16°/10° · 9.1 mm | 18°/11° · 18 mm | 16°/12° · 6.0 mm | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | 15°/12° · 1.2 mm | 16°/14° · 0.6 mm | 17°/15° · 7.2 mm |
| AIFS | 14°/12° · 7.4 mm | 15°/13° · 8.4 mm | 16°/12° · 5.6 mm | 16°/10° · 2.4 mm | 15°/10° · 1.0 mm | 16°/14° · 7.8 mm | 18°/15° · 16 mm |
| GFS | 16°/12° · 0.8 mm | 15°/12° · 14 mm | 15°/13° · 0.0 mm | 16°/12° · 1.1 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 14°/13° · 8.7 mm | 16°/14° · 23 mm |
| ICON | 17°/11° · 4.4 mm | 16°/13° · 8.5 mm | 17°/12° · 9.6 mm | 16°/11° · 0.1 mm | 15°/13° · 7.1 mm | 16°/13° · 17 mm | 16°/15° · 77 mm |
| GEM | 15°/10° · 1.1 mm | 13°/10° · 14 mm | 13°/11° · 23 mm | 14°/8° · 0.0 mm | 13°/8° · 0.0 mm | 15°/11° · 4.8 mm | 18°/15° · 51 mm |
| JMA | 17°/15° · 2.2 mm | 17°/15° · 2.6 mm | 17°/15° · 3.6 mm | 17°/16° · 0.0 mm | 17°/16° · 0.6 mm | 17°/16° · 4.4 mm | 19°/16° · 14 mm |
| ARPEGE | 17°/14° · 2.0 mm | 17°/14° · 11 mm | 16°/11° · 6.7 mm | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 16°/9° · 0.1 mm | 13°/11° · 42 mm | 15°/11° · 12 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.0 mm | 17°/14° · 7.6 mm | - |
| CMA | 16°/12° · 5.2 mm | 18°/13° · 2.8 mm | 17°/13° · 12 mm | 17°/10° · 7.6 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 44/100. ICON brings 7.1 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 13° (GEM) to 17° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Nice weather: questions
Will it rain in Nice tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 11 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 11 mm, ranging from 2.6 mm to 42 mm.
When will it rain next in Nice?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 78% of models, about 2.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Nice today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 16°C with 9.1 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 16°C with 0.8 mm. The median of all 9 models is 16°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Nice?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Nice forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 44/100): ICON forecasts 7.1 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology