Today
4 Nov
11° 8°
100%4.6 mm
90%
9 weather models · one stack
Turin weather
Piedmont, Italy
45.10°, 7.70° · 247 m
Local time 02:15
Confidence 90%
Turin weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 11°C and a low of 8°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 4.6 mm. Tomorrow: 11°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.0 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
11° 8°
100%5.0 mm
89%
Fri
6 Nov
12° 7°
89%4.4 mm
73%
Sat
7 Nov
12° 6°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Sun
8 Nov
11° 6°
14%0.1 mm
68%
Mon
9 Nov
10° 8°
57%1.3 mm
51%
Tue
10 Nov
11° 8°
67%2.0 mm
54%
Wed
11 Nov
12° 7°
40%0.0 mm
34%
Thu
12 Nov
14° 8°
40%0.6 mm
38%
Fri
13 Nov
15° 7°
0%0.0 mm
66%
Sat
14 Nov
13° 7°
50%2.0 mm
33%
Sun
15 Nov
10° 7°
33%0.0 mm
64%
Mon
16 Nov
8° 3°
33%0.0 mm
23%
Tue
17 Nov
11° 5°
33%0.2 mm
26%
Wed
18 Nov
11° 6°
0%0.0 mm
62%
Thu
19 Nov
13° 8°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Turin
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Turin on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Turin
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 11°/8° · 4.6 mm | 11°/8° · 5.0 mm | 12°/7° · 4.4 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.1 mm | 10°/8° · 1.3 mm | 11°/8° · 2.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 11°/8° · 3.1 mm | 11°/8° · 4.9 mm | 13°/6° · 1.4 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/3° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 10°/8° · 6.2 mm | 10°/9° · 6.6 mm | 10°/8° · 4.4 mm | 11°/7° · 0.2 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 9°/8° · 1.6 mm | 10°/8° · 2.0 mm |
| GFS | 11°/9° · 4.1 mm | 10°/9° · 5.0 mm | 13°/10° · 0.1 mm | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 10°/9° · 0.0 mm | 12°/9° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 11°/8° · 5.6 mm | 12°/9° · 5.9 mm | 12°/8° · 9.3 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 10°/7° · 3.6 mm | 11°/8° · 1.3 mm | 11°/9° · 2.6 mm |
| GEM | 10°/7° · 4.0 mm | 10°/7° · 4.9 mm | 10°/6° · 19 mm | 12°/6° · 0.4 mm | 11°/3° · 0.3 mm | 11°/3° · 0.5 mm | 10°/5° · 7.0 mm |
| JMA | 11°/7° · 4.6 mm | 10°/7° · 5.0 mm | 13°/7° · 5.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.4 mm | 11°/5° · 0.4 mm | 10°/6° · 4.8 mm | 12°/7° · 2.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 11°/9° · 6.7 mm | 12°/8° · 5.6 mm | 12°/7° · 2.6 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 12°/9° · 5.4 mm | 11°/9° · 5.8 mm | 11°/9° · 1.5 mm | 12°/8° · 0.6 mm | 11°/8° · 0.1 mm | 10°/8° · 1.4 mm | - |
| CMA | 10°/5° · 3.5 mm | 11°/7° · 2.9 mm | 11°/6° · 4.7 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 51/100. JMA brings 4.8 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 9° (AIFS) to 11° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Turin weather: questions
Will it rain in Turin tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.0 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 5.0 mm, ranging from 2.9 mm to 6.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Turin?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 4.6 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Turin today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 11°C with 3.1 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 11°C with 4.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 11°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Turin?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Turin forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 51/100): JMA forecasts 4.8 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology