Today
4 Nov
16° 9°
89%3.8 mm
76%
9 weather models · one stack
Barcelona weather
Catalonia, Spain
41.44°, 2.20° · 44 m
Local time 02:16
Confidence 76%
Barcelona weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 16°C and a low of 9°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 3.8 mm. Tomorrow: 18°C. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 5.3 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
18° 10°
33%0.2 mm
35%
Fri
6 Nov
18° 9°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Sat
7 Nov
17° 9°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Sun
8 Nov
19° 13°
43%0.4 mm
46%
Mon
9 Nov
20° 15°
71%1.5 mm
63%
Tue
10 Nov
22° 16°
50%0.7 mm
45%
Wed
11 Nov
21° 15°
40%0.4 mm
47%
Thu
12 Nov
21° 14°
40%0.8 mm
41%
Fri
13 Nov
19° 13°
25%0.2 mm
54%
Sat
14 Nov
18° 13°
50%1.4 mm
18%
Sun
15 Nov
17° 10°
67%14 mm
43%
Mon
16 Nov
17° 11°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Tue
17 Nov
18° 11°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Wed
18 Nov
18° 12°
0%0.0 mm
69%
Thu
19 Nov
17° 14°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Barcelona
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Barcelona on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Barcelona
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 16°/9° · 3.8 mm | 18°/10° · 0.2 mm | 18°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 19°/13° · 0.4 mm | 20°/15° · 1.5 mm | 22°/16° · 0.7 mm |
| ECMWF | 15°/7° · 3.5 mm | 19°/8° · 0.2 mm | 17°/7° · 0.0 mm | 18°/7° · 0.0 mm | 20°/10° · 0.3 mm | 21°/13° · 0.0 mm | 21°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 16°/9° · 3.6 mm | 16°/10° · 2.4 mm | 17°/8° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.6 mm | 19°/11° · 0.4 mm | 20°/16° · 2.8 mm | 22°/17° · 0.4 mm |
| GFS | 16°/11° · 5.4 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/13° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/16° · 1.3 mm | 22°/16° · 0.2 mm |
| ICON | 17°/11° · 5.6 mm | 17°/10° · 0.2 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/11° · 0.6 mm | 17°/13° · 5.4 mm | 20°/13° · 3.3 mm | 22°/18° · 7.2 mm |
| GEM | 15°/8° · 6.7 mm | 13°/7° · 5.3 mm | 16°/6° · 0.0 mm | 15°/7° · 0.9 mm | 17°/12° · 4.3 mm | 21°/15° · 1.5 mm | 21°/16° · 16 mm |
| JMA | 16°/7° · 3.8 mm | 14°/9° · 2.8 mm | 18°/9° · 0.2 mm | 18°/8° · 0.6 mm | 19°/13° · 1.2 mm | 21°/14° · 3.0 mm | 22°/17° · 1.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 17°/11° · 1.6 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 17°/10° · 4.8 mm | 18°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/16° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 17°/9° · 0.8 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 35/100. GEM brings 5.3 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 13° (GEM) to 20° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Barcelona weather: questions
Will it rain in Barcelona tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 5.3 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 5.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Barcelona?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 89% of models, about 3.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Barcelona today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 15°C with 3.5 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 16°C with 5.4 mm. The median of all 9 models is 16°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Barcelona?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Barcelona forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 35/100): GEM forecasts 5.3 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology