Today
4 Nov
30° 25°
89%3.5 mm
76%
9 weather models · one stack
Abidjan weather
Abidjan Autonomous District, Ivory Coast
5.38°, -4.02° · 53 m
Local time 01:16
Confidence 76%
Abidjan weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 25°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 3.5 mm. Tomorrow: 30°C. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 1.6 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
30° 25°
67%1.6 mm
58%
Fri
6 Nov
31° 25°
33%0.0 mm
56%
Sat
7 Nov
31° 26°
22%0.0 mm
68%
Sun
8 Nov
31° 26°
29%0.6 mm
64%
Mon
9 Nov
32° 25°
43%0.9 mm
48%
Tue
10 Nov
30° 25°
50%2.4 mm
42%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 25°
60%3.6 mm
55%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 24°
80%3.5 mm
70%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 24°
75%4.8 mm
69%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 24°
100%3.4 mm
94%
Sun
15 Nov
31° 25°
100%3.6 mm
91%
Mon
16 Nov
31° 25°
100%3.6 mm
88%
Tue
17 Nov
30° 25°
100%4.1 mm
89%
Wed
18 Nov
31° 25°
100%11 mm
64%
Thu
19 Nov
30° 24°
100%18 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Abidjan
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Abidjan on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Abidjan
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/25° · 3.5 mm | 30°/25° · 1.6 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.6 mm | 32°/25° · 0.9 mm | 30°/25° · 2.4 mm |
| ECMWF | 30°/24° · 2.9 mm | 31°/24° · 5.8 mm | 30°/25° · 3.7 mm | 30°/25° · 3.6 mm | 30°/25° · 2.1 mm | 30°/25° · 2.4 mm | 29°/25° · 4.8 mm |
| AIFS | 30°/24° · 12 mm | 32°/24° · 2.4 mm | 32°/25° · 3.6 mm | 32°/25° · 2.4 mm | 32°/25° · 2.9 mm | 32°/25° · 6.5 mm | 31°/24° · 18 mm |
| GFS | 31°/25° · 6.7 mm | 30°/26° · 3.8 mm | 31°/26° · 1.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.3 mm | 31°/27° · 0.1 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.6 mm |
| ICON | 31°/25° · 1.6 mm | 30°/26° · 1.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.7 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.6 mm | 32°/27° · 0.9 mm | 31°/26° · 4.2 mm |
| GEM | 29°/25° · 16 mm | 30°/25° · 4.7 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 29°/24° · 3.5 mm | 30°/24° · 0.1 mm | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/24° · 0.6 mm | 30°/24° · 1.2 mm | 30°/23° · 0.5 mm |
| ARPEGE | 29°/26° · 0.7 mm | 30°/26° · 1.6 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 29°/24° · 6.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.1 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.6 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 30°/25° · 1.2 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/26° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 42/100. AIFS brings 18 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 29° (ECMWF) to 31° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Abidjan weather: questions
Will it rain in Abidjan tomorrow?
Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 1.6 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 1.6 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 5.8 mm.
When will it rain next in Abidjan?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 89% of models, about 3.5 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Abidjan today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 30°C with 2.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 31°C with 6.7 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Abidjan?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Abidjan forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 42/100): AIFS forecasts 18 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:48 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology