Today
4 Nov
32° 24°
78%4.1 mm
58%
9 weather models · one stack
Kinshasa weather
Kinshasa City, Democratic Republic of Congo
-4.32°, 15.31° · 283 m
Local time 02:15
Confidence 58%
Kinshasa weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 32°C and a low of 24°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 4.1 mm. Tomorrow: 30°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 14 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
30° 24°
100%14 mm
78%
Fri
6 Nov
29° 24°
89%6.0 mm
69%
Sat
7 Nov
30° 24°
56%3.9 mm
36%
Sun
8 Nov
31° 24°
100%4.7 mm
77%
Mon
9 Nov
31° 24°
86%5.8 mm
61%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 23°
100%6.9 mm
80%
Wed
11 Nov
29° 23°
100%9.9 mm
68%
Thu
12 Nov
29° 23°
80%7.6 mm
40%
Fri
13 Nov
29° 23°
75%2.4 mm
59%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 24°
50%0.9 mm
40%
Sun
15 Nov
31° 23°
67%6.2 mm
47%
Mon
16 Nov
30° 23°
100%8.6 mm
62%
Tue
17 Nov
30° 24°
100%6.7 mm
93%
Wed
18 Nov
30° 23°
100%8.1 mm
69%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 22°
100%1.2 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Kinshasa
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Kinshasa on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Kinshasa
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 32°/24° · 4.1 mm | 30°/24° · 14 mm | 29°/24° · 6.0 mm | 30°/24° · 3.9 mm | 31°/24° · 4.7 mm | 31°/24° · 5.8 mm | 31°/23° · 6.9 mm |
| ECMWF | 34°/24° · 1.2 mm | 29°/24° · 18 mm | 30°/24° · 6.0 mm | 30°/24° · 0.5 mm | 31°/24° · 1.5 mm | 30°/24° · 5.8 mm | 29°/23° · 13 mm |
| AIFS | 32°/24° · 4.0 mm | 30°/24° · 12 mm | 27°/24° · 15 mm | 30°/23° · 4.8 mm | 30°/24° · 9.4 mm | 29°/24° · 10 mm | 30°/23° · 8.0 mm |
| GFS | 36°/23° · 4.1 mm | 31°/23° · 14 mm | 29°/22° · 4.4 mm | 27°/22° · 0.2 mm | 34°/21° · 3.9 mm | 34°/22° · 7.2 mm | 33°/22° · 3.2 mm |
| ICON | 33°/25° · 7.9 mm | 30°/25° · 12 mm | 31°/25° · 7.7 mm | 31°/25° · 8.3 mm | 30°/24° · 11 mm | 32°/26° · 4.6 mm | 31°/25° · 5.2 mm |
| GEM | 32°/23° · 0.2 mm | 29°/23° · 14 mm | 29°/22° · 0.0 mm | 31°/22° · 0.0 mm | 33°/23° · 2.7 mm | 32°/23° · 0.0 mm | 32°/23° · 7.3 mm |
| JMA | 31°/24° · 6.6 mm | 30°/25° · 15 mm | 30°/25° · 5.0 mm | 29°/25° · 6.4 mm | 30°/24° · 5.4 mm | 31°/25° · 4.4 mm | 30°/25° · 6.4 mm |
| ARPEGE | 32°/25° · 8.7 mm | 31°/25° · 15 mm | 32°/25° · 2.1 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 32°/26° · 0.1 mm | 33°/25° · 47 mm | 29°/25° · 33 mm | 31°/25° · 3.9 mm | 32°/26° · 4.7 mm | 30°/26° · 5.8 mm | - |
| CMA | 31°/24° · 4.3 mm | 28°/24° · 6.9 mm | 29°/23° · 11 mm | 29°/23° · 12 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 36/100. CMA brings 12 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 27° (GFS) to 33° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Kinshasa weather: questions
Will it rain in Kinshasa tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 14 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 14 mm, ranging from 6.9 mm to 47 mm.
When will it rain next in Kinshasa?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 78% of models, about 4.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Kinshasa today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 34°C with 1.2 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 36°C with 4.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 32°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Kinshasa?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Kinshasa forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 36/100): CMA forecasts 12 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:58 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology