Today
4 Nov
31° 26°
56%1.1 mm
33%
9 weather models · one stack
Accra weather
Greater Accra Region, Ghana
5.59°, -0.22° · 28 m
Local time 01:14
Confidence 33%
Accra weather today: 9 models agree with low confidence on a high of 31°C and a low of 26°C. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 1.1 mm. Tomorrow: 31°C. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 2.7 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
31° 26°
33%0.0 mm
41%
Fri
6 Nov
31° 26°
11%0.0 mm
61%
Sat
7 Nov
31° 26°
11%0.0 mm
63%
Sun
8 Nov
31° 27°
14%0.0 mm
62%
Mon
9 Nov
32° 26°
14%0.0 mm
64%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 26°
67%3.8 mm
49%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 25°
80%2.0 mm
56%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 26°
80%1.8 mm
56%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 26°
50%1.0 mm
30%
Sat
14 Nov
31° 25°
50%1.0 mm
33%
Sun
15 Nov
31° 25°
67%1.2 mm
52%
Mon
16 Nov
32° 25°
67%1.8 mm
52%
Tue
17 Nov
31° 25°
33%0.8 mm
52%
Wed
18 Nov
33° 26°
100%2.0 mm
60%
Thu
19 Nov
31° 26°
100%2.7 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Accra
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Accra on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Accra
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 31°/26° · 1.1 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 3.8 mm |
| ECMWF | 31°/25° · 2.1 mm | 32°/25° · 1.1 mm | 32°/25° · 1.5 mm | 31°/24° · 1.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.6 mm | 32°/24° · 0.9 mm | 31°/25° · 8.7 mm |
| AIFS | 34°/25° · 1.9 mm | 34°/26° · 1.2 mm | 35°/26° · 0.6 mm | 34°/27° · 0.6 mm | 34°/27° · 2.3 mm | 34°/26° · 5.4 mm | 32°/26° · 12 mm |
| GFS | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.6 mm | 33°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.5 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 33°/27° · 6.0 mm |
| GEM | 29°/26° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 2.7 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 28°/27° · 1.1 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.5 mm | 29°/28° · 1.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 28°/26° · 1.5 mm | 28°/27° · 0.1 mm | 28°/27° · 0.9 mm | 28°/28° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 30°/25° · 1.7 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/26° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 31°/25° · 0.3 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/24° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 33/100. ECMWF brings 2.1 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 28° (ARPEGE) to 34° (AIFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Accra weather: questions
Will it rain in Accra tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 2.7 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 2.7 mm.
When will it rain next in Accra?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 56% of models, about 1.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Accra today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 31°C with 2.1 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 32°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 31°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Accra?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Accra forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 33/100): ECMWF forecasts 2.1 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:48 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology