Today
4 Nov
30° 27°
11%0.0 mm
66%
9 weather models · one stack
Dakar weather
Dakar, Senegal
14.80°, -17.35° · 10 m
Local time 01:14
Confidence 66%
Dakar weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 27°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 30°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
30° 27°
11%0.0 mm
62%
Fri
6 Nov
32° 28°
0%0.0 mm
53%
Sat
7 Nov
34° 27°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Sun
8 Nov
34° 27°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Mon
9 Nov
34° 27°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 26°
0%0.0 mm
57%
Wed
11 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.0 mm
65%
Thu
12 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Fri
13 Nov
29° 26°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Sat
14 Nov
29° 27°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 27°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Mon
16 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.0 mm
73%
Tue
17 Nov
30° 25°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Wed
18 Nov
30° 26°
0%0.0 mm
37%
Thu
19 Nov
28° 27°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Dakar
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Dakar on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Dakar
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/28° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 32°/27° · 0.3 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/28° · 0.0 mm | 39°/27° · 0.0 mm | 39°/28° · 0.0 mm | 39°/27° · 0.0 mm | 35°/26° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 33°/27° · 0.0 mm | 36°/27° · 0.0 mm | 36°/27° · 0.0 mm | 35°/26° · 0.0 mm | 35°/25° · 0.0 mm | 34°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm | 28°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/27° · 0.0 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 41°/27° · 0.0 mm | 36°/27° · 0.0 mm | 37°/26° · 0.0 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 30°/27° · 0.0 mm | 30°/28° · 0.0 mm | 32°/28° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | 31°/26° · 0.0 mm | 31°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 28°/28° · 4.0 mm | 29°/27° · 9.8 mm | 29°/29° · 0.0 mm | 29°/29° · 0.0 mm | 29°/29° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 28°/27° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/29° · 0.0 mm | 33°/28° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.2 mm | 36°/27° · 0.0 mm | 38°/27° · 0.0 mm | 32°/27° · 0.0 mm | 34°/27° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 29°/28° · 0.0 mm | 30°/29° · 0.0 mm | 30°/29° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 45/100. ECMWF brings 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 28° (GFS) to 41° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Dakar weather: questions
Will it rain in Dakar tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 9.8 mm.
When will it rain next in Dakar?
No day in the next 16 days where most models agree on rain.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Dakar today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 32°C with 0.3 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 28°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Dakar?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Dakar forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 45/100): ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:48 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology