Today
3 Nov
19° 10°
33%0.2 mm
34%
9 weather models · one stack
Bogotá weather
Bogota D.C., Colombia
4.67°, -74.11° · 2583 m
Local time 20:16
Confidence 34%
Bogotá weather today: 9 models agree with low confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 10°C. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 3.8 mm. Tomorrow: 19°C. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 2.3 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
19° 10°
67%2.3 mm
42%
Thu
5 Nov
20° 11°
100%6.8 mm
71%
Fri
6 Nov
19° 11°
56%3.0 mm
32%
Sat
7 Nov
19° 10°
33%0.6 mm
48%
Sun
8 Nov
20° 11°
29%0.9 mm
43%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 9°
14%0.1 mm
71%
Tue
10 Nov
19° 11°
17%0.0 mm
63%
Wed
11 Nov
21° 9°
20%0.0 mm
47%
Thu
12 Nov
19° 10°
20%0.2 mm
51%
Fri
13 Nov
19° 11°
50%1.1 mm
32%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 11°
100%2.6 mm
77%
Sun
15 Nov
20° 11°
100%1.8 mm
75%
Mon
16 Nov
22° 11°
100%2.4 mm
88%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 12°
100%4.2 mm
92%
Wed
18 Nov
20° 12°
100%2.2 mm
63%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Bogotá
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Bogotá on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Bogotá
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/10° · 0.2 mm | 19°/10° · 2.3 mm | 20°/11° · 6.8 mm | 19°/11° · 3.0 mm | 19°/10° · 0.6 mm | 20°/11° · 0.9 mm | 19°/9° · 0.1 mm |
| ECMWF | 21°/12° · 0.2 mm | 22°/11° · 0.4 mm | 22°/11° · 12 mm | 21°/11° · 0.8 mm | 20°/10° · 0.6 mm | 21°/11° · 1.2 mm | 20°/10° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 14°/11° · 1.2 mm | 19°/11° · 3.0 mm | 18°/11° · 6.8 mm | 17°/12° · 7.2 mm | 17°/12° · 5.6 mm | 17°/12° · 4.4 mm | 18°/11° · 2.4 mm |
| GFS | 22°/10° · 0.0 mm | 20°/10° · 2.3 mm | 20°/11° · 7.6 mm | 21°/10° · 3.8 mm | 19°/10° · 2.0 mm | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm | 20°/9° · 0.9 mm |
| ICON | 18°/9° · 0.0 mm | 20°/8° · 0.0 mm | 20°/10° · 10 mm | 19°/10° · 3.8 mm | 20°/10° · 0.0 mm | 20°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 21°/8° · 1.0 mm | 18°/8° · 4.9 mm | 21°/9° · 2.1 mm | 21°/8° · 0.3 mm | 22°/8° · 0.6 mm | 22°/7° · 0.9 mm | 19°/9° · 0.1 mm |
| JMA | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 19°/10° · 1.0 mm | 19°/11° · 2.4 mm | 18°/12° · 3.0 mm | 19°/10° · 0.2 mm | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm | 18°/8° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 21°/11° · 0.0 mm | 22°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 1.8 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 18°/10° · 3.8 mm | 17°/9° · 16 mm | 19°/10° · 2.9 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/11° · 0.9 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 19°/14° · 0.3 mm | 18°/13° · 9.9 mm | 17°/13° · 16 mm | 17°/13° · 7.0 mm | 18°/13° · 4.8 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 32/100. AIFS brings 7.2 mm of rain while ARPEGE has 0.0 mm; highs range from 17° (CMA) to 22° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Bogotá weather: questions
Will it rain in Bogotá tomorrow?
Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 2.3 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 2.3 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 16 mm.
When will it rain next in Bogotá?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 67% of models, about 2.3 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Bogotá today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 21°C with 0.2 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 22°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Bogotá?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Bogotá forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 32/100): AIFS forecasts 7.2 mm of rain while ARPEGE forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology