Today
3 Nov
30° 25°
78%1.5 mm
68%
9 weather models · one stack
Panama City weather
Provincia de Panamá, Panama
9.03°, -79.49° · 15 m
Local time 20:17
Confidence 68%
Panama City weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 25°C. Rain expected: 78% of models agree, about 1.5 mm. Tomorrow: 30°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 12 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
30° 26°
100%12 mm
87%
Thu
5 Nov
30° 25°
89%7.8 mm
76%
Fri
6 Nov
29° 25°
78%6.9 mm
57%
Sat
7 Nov
29° 25°
67%4.2 mm
51%
Sun
8 Nov
30° 25°
57%2.1 mm
38%
Mon
9 Nov
31° 26°
86%2.7 mm
71%
Tue
10 Nov
31° 26°
50%1.4 mm
35%
Wed
11 Nov
31° 26°
60%6.0 mm
34%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 26°
100%6.3 mm
88%
Fri
13 Nov
30° 26°
100%4.3 mm
88%
Sat
14 Nov
30° 24°
100%7.2 mm
94%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 25°
100%4.8 mm
79%
Mon
16 Nov
30° 25°
100%7.8 mm
80%
Tue
17 Nov
28° 24°
100%9.4 mm
93%
Wed
18 Nov
30° 24°
100%8.9 mm
65%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Panama City
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Panama City on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Panama City
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/25° · 1.5 mm | 30°/26° · 12 mm | 30°/25° · 7.8 mm | 29°/25° · 6.9 mm | 29°/25° · 4.2 mm | 30°/25° · 2.1 mm | 31°/26° · 2.7 mm |
| ECMWF | 30°/25° · 6.4 mm | 29°/25° · 12 mm | 29°/25° · 5.0 mm | 29°/25° · 4.4 mm | 28°/24° · 3.6 mm | 29°/24° · 2.1 mm | 32°/25° · 2.7 mm |
| AIFS | 29°/25° · 5.8 mm | 28°/25° · 13 mm | 29°/26° · 13 mm | 28°/25° · 16 mm | 28°/25° · 15 mm | 29°/25° · 4.8 mm | 31°/26° · 1.2 mm |
| GFS | 30°/23° · 1.2 mm | 30°/24° · 16 mm | 30°/23° · 24 mm | 30°/23° · 9.6 mm | 28°/24° · 9.4 mm | 30°/23° · 9.3 mm | 31°/23° · 11 mm |
| ICON | 30°/25° · 3.3 mm | 30°/26° · 5.2 mm | 31°/25° · 0.7 mm | 32°/25° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.6 mm | 33°/25° · 0.0 mm | 33°/26° · 0.6 mm |
| GEM | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 8.3 mm | 31°/24° · 7.5 mm | 29°/25° · 0.2 mm | 30°/25° · 0.4 mm | 31°/25° · 0.3 mm | 32°/25° · 2.7 mm |
| JMA | 29°/25° · 2.2 mm | 28°/26° · 8.6 mm | 29°/26° · 1.2 mm | 28°/25° · 7.6 mm | 29°/26° · 4.2 mm | 30°/26° · 2.4 mm | 30°/26° · 3.8 mm |
| ARPEGE | 30°/25° · 1.1 mm | 30°/26° · 17 mm | 31°/25° · 7.8 mm | 28°/25° · 5.4 mm | 30°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 31°/25° · 1.5 mm | 30°/26° · 9.2 mm | 31°/25° · 9.9 mm | 32°/26° · 6.9 mm | 29°/26° · 5.4 mm | 32°/26° · 0.6 mm | 31°/26° · 4.8 mm |
| CMA | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm | 29°/26° · 20 mm | 30°/25° · 17 mm | 30°/25° · 19 mm | 27°/26° · 12 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 38/100. GFS brings 9.3 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 29° (AIFS) to 33° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Panama City weather: questions
Will it rain in Panama City tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 12 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 12 mm, ranging from 5.2 mm to 20 mm.
When will it rain next in Panama City?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 78% of models, about 1.5 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Panama City today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 30°C with 6.4 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 30°C with 1.2 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Panama City?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Panama City forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 38/100): GFS forecasts 9.3 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:28 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology