Today
3 Nov
18° 9°
89%3.9 mm
51%
9 weather models · one stack
Quito weather
Pichincha, Ecuador
-0.18°, -78.49° · 2858 m
Local time 20:14
Confidence 51%
Quito weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 18°C and a low of 9°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 3.9 mm. Tomorrow: 18°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 9.9 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
18° 10°
89%9.9 mm
56%
Thu
5 Nov
17° 10°
89%13 mm
51%
Fri
6 Nov
17° 11°
100%14 mm
66%
Sat
7 Nov
17° 10°
100%7.7 mm
61%
Sun
8 Nov
20° 10°
43%0.3 mm
31%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 9°
57%1.2 mm
39%
Tue
10 Nov
20° 10°
50%0.9 mm
30%
Wed
11 Nov
20° 10°
60%1.2 mm
39%
Thu
12 Nov
20° 10°
80%5.2 mm
53%
Fri
13 Nov
19° 11°
100%7.9 mm
70%
Sat
14 Nov
19° 11°
100%9.6 mm
88%
Sun
15 Nov
18° 11°
100%15 mm
70%
Mon
16 Nov
17° 12°
100%15 mm
61%
Tue
17 Nov
16° 11°
100%14 mm
58%
Wed
18 Nov
18° 12°
100%9.7 mm
65%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Quito
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Quito on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Quito
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 18°/9° · 3.9 mm | 18°/10° · 9.9 mm | 17°/10° · 13 mm | 17°/11° · 14 mm | 17°/10° · 7.7 mm | 20°/10° · 0.3 mm | 19°/9° · 1.2 mm |
| ECMWF | 19°/9° · 3.9 mm | 18°/10° · 18 mm | 18°/10° · 23 mm | 16°/11° · 34 mm | 16°/10° · 17 mm | 20°/10° · 0.0 mm | 19°/9° · 1.2 mm |
| AIFS | 16°/12° · 6.2 mm | 18°/11° · 8.4 mm | 17°/12° · 15 mm | 17°/12° · 15 mm | 17°/12° · 13 mm | 20°/12° · 4.4 mm | 21°/13° · 1.2 mm |
| GFS | 19°/9° · 7.5 mm | 20°/10° · 9.9 mm | 19°/10° · 7.3 mm | 18°/11° · 14 mm | 19°/9° · 6.2 mm | 16°/10° · 1.8 mm | 19°/9° · 1.5 mm |
| ICON | 20°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/9° · 0.5 mm | 20°/9° · 0.6 mm | 19°/10° · 2.4 mm | 18°/10° · 3.7 mm | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm | 22°/9° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 17°/9° · 3.3 mm | 17°/9° · 8.2 mm | 16°/11° · 14 mm | 17°/9° · 5.2 mm | 17°/10° · 39 mm | 19°/7° · 0.3 mm | 19°/6° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 15°/10° · 7.8 mm | 15°/10° · 13 mm | 13°/10° · 24 mm | 14°/10° · 18 mm | 16°/10° · 17 mm | 16°/10° · 9.8 mm | 17°/10° · 2.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 23°/11° · 3.1 mm | 22°/12° · 7.9 mm | 22°/14° · 5.0 mm | 22°/14° · 12 mm | 23°/13° · 2.3 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 18°/9° · 1.3 mm | 17°/10° · 12 mm | 17°/9° · 1.0 mm | 17°/10° · 9.1 mm | 17°/9° · 7.4 mm | 20°/9° · 0.3 mm | 19°/8° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 14°/11° · 17 mm | 14°/9° · 12 mm | 14°/11° · 13 mm | 15°/11° · 18 mm | 14°/11° · 7.7 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 31/100. JMA brings 9.8 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 16° (JMA) to 22° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Quito weather: questions
Will it rain in Quito tomorrow?
Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 9.9 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 9.9 mm, ranging from 0.5 mm to 18 mm.
When will it rain next in Quito?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 89% of models, about 3.9 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Quito today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 19°C with 3.9 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 19°C with 7.5 mm. The median of all 9 models is 18°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Quito?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Quito forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 31/100): JMA forecasts 9.8 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:28 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology