9 weather models · one stack

Nashville weather

Q: Will it rain in Nashville tomorrow?

Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 1.31 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 1.31 in, ranging from 0.53 in to 2.12 in.

Q: When will it rain next in Nashville?

The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 1.31 in.

Q: What do ECMWF and GFS say for Nashville today?

ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 78°F with 0.04 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 78°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 76°F.

Q: Which weather model is most accurate for Nashville?

On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.

Q: How reliable is the Nashville forecast this week?

The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 65/100): ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in.

Tennessee, United States 36.17°, -86.73° · 166 m Local time 19:17 Confidence 78%

Nashville weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 76°F and a low of 60°F. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 69°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 1.31 in.

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The stack

Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.

16-day consensus

Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.

Today

3 Nov

76° 60°

11%<0.01 in

78%

Wed

4 Nov

69° 57°

100%1.31 in

83%

Thu

5 Nov

68° 53°

0%0.00 in

77%

Fri

6 Nov

64° 50°

0%0.00 in

68%

Sat

7 Nov

55° 44°

0%0.00 in

76%

Sun

8 Nov

58° 39°

0%0.00 in

65%

Mon

9 Nov

63° 43°

0%0.00 in

76%

Tue

10 Nov

67° 42°

0%0.00 in

75%

Wed

11 Nov

66° 50°

0%0.00 in

82%

Thu

12 Nov

63° 45°

0%0.00 in

83%

Fri

13 Nov

67° 44°

0%0.00 in

85%

Sat

14 Nov

70° 52°

33%0.00 in

58%

Sun

15 Nov

68° 52°

33%0.00 in

15%

Mon

16 Nov

67° 53°

33%0.00 in

15%

Tue

17 Nov

64° 45°

0%0.00 in

77%

Wed

18 Nov

59° 42°

0%0.00 in

54%

Model spaghetti

Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.

Model maps around Nashville

ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Nashville on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.

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What each model says for Nashville

Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.

Model	Today	Wed 4	Thu 5	Fri 6	Sat 7	Sun 8	Mon 9
Consensus	76°/60° · <0.01 in	69°/57° · 1.31 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	64°/50° · 0.00 in	55°/44° · 0.00 in	58°/39° · 0.00 in	63°/43° · 0.00 in
ECMWF	78°/63° · 0.04 in	74°/57° · 0.53 in	70°/52° · 0.00 in	69°/52° · 0.00 in	57°/44° · 0.00 in	60°/39° · 0.00 in	63°/43° · 0.00 in
AIFS	76°/60° · 0.08 in	68°/57° · 1.34 in	67°/50° · 0.00 in	60°/49° · 0.00 in	54°/42° · 0.00 in	57°/35° · 0.00 in	65°/37° · 0.00 in
GFS	78°/57° · 0.00 in	69°/57° · 1.31 in	71°/54° · 0.00 in	65°/51° · 0.00 in	56°/44° · 0.00 in	58°/45° · 0.00 in	65°/45° · 0.00 in
ICON	77°/60° · 0.00 in	71°/57° · 1.29 in	68°/54° · 0.00 in	64°/50° · 0.00 in	55°/43° · 0.00 in	57°/38° · 0.00 in	60°/46° · 0.00 in
GEM	78°/61° · 0.01 in	68°/54° · 2.12 in	62°/47° · 0.00 in	60°/42° · 0.00 in	54°/35° · 0.00 in	59°/30° · 0.00 in	62°/28° · 0.00 in
JMA	74°/63° · 0.00 in	70°/60° · 0.94 in	72°/53° · 0.00 in	67°/54° · 0.00 in	59°/46° · 0.00 in	65°/41° · 0.00 in	65°/46° · 0.00 in
ARPEGE	76°/59° · 0.00 in	69°/62° · 1.42 in	69°/54° · 0.00 in	65°/50° · 0.00 in	59°/44° · 0.00 in	-	-
UKMO	76°/61° · 0.01 in	69°/62° · 1.37 in	68°/55° · 0.00 in	59°/52° · 0.00 in	52°/45° · 0.00 in	50°/42° · 0.00 in	58°/42° · 0.00 in
CMA	75°/59° · <0.01 in	67°/57° · 1.04 in	66°/52° · 0.00 in	58°/49° · 0.00 in	51°/40° · 0.00 in	-	-

Where the models disagree: Sunday

Confidence is only 65/100. ECMWF brings 0.00 in of rain while ECMWF has 0.00 in; highs range from 50° (UKMO) to 65° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.