9 weather models · one stack

Minneapolis weather

Q: Will it rain in Minneapolis tomorrow?

Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.61 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.61 in, ranging from 0.42 in to 1.00 in.

Q: When will it rain next in Minneapolis?

The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 100% of models, about 0.41 in.

Q: What do ECMWF and GFS say for Minneapolis today?

ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 63°F with 0.77 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 65°F with 0.70 in. The median of all 9 models is 64°F.

Q: Which weather model is most accurate for Minneapolis?

On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.

Q: How reliable is the Minneapolis forecast this week?

The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 58/100): GFS forecasts 0.16 in of rain while UKMO forecasts 0.00 in.

Minnesota, United States 44.96°, -93.21° · 261 m Local time 19:16 Confidence 76%

Minneapolis weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 64°F and a low of 54°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.41 in. Tomorrow: 54°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.61 in.

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The stack

Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.

16-day consensus

Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.

Today

3 Nov

64° 54°

100%0.41 in

76%

Wed

4 Nov

54° 51°

100%0.61 in

87%

Thu

5 Nov

51° 41°

67%0.07 in

58%

Fri

6 Nov

43° 35°

0%0.00 in

80%

Sat

7 Nov

49° 35°

0%0.00 in

68%

Sun

8 Nov

53° 42°

0%0.00 in

84%

Mon

9 Nov

58° 41°

0%0.00 in

86%

Tue

10 Nov

53° 40°

0%0.00 in

82%

Wed

11 Nov

53° 38°

0%0.00 in

75%

Thu

12 Nov

58° 40°

0%0.00 in

66%

Fri

13 Nov

59° 46°

25%0.01 in

47%

Sat

14 Nov

59° 50°

33%0.00 in

15%

Sun

15 Nov

56° 47°

67%0.04 in

24%

Mon

16 Nov

55° 42°

67%0.07 in

64%

Tue

17 Nov

56° 46°

33%<0.01 in

15%

Wed

18 Nov

47° 36°

0%0.00 in

36%

Model spaghetti

Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.

Model maps around Minneapolis

ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Minneapolis on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.

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What each model says for Minneapolis

Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.

Model	Today	Wed 4	Thu 5	Fri 6	Sat 7	Sun 8	Mon 9
Consensus	64°/54° · 0.41 in	54°/51° · 0.61 in	51°/41° · 0.07 in	43°/35° · 0.00 in	49°/35° · 0.00 in	53°/42° · 0.00 in	58°/41° · 0.00 in
ECMWF	63°/54° · 0.77 in	54°/51° · 0.46 in	51°/41° · 0.07 in	44°/35° · 0.00 in	52°/34° · 0.00 in	55°/40° · 0.00 in	58°/41° · 0.00 in
AIFS	64°/54° · 0.72 in	54°/49° · 0.57 in	49°/39° · 0.07 in	41°/33° · 0.00 in	46°/30° · 0.00 in	53°/38° · 0.00 in	60°/41° · 0.00 in
GFS	65°/54° · 0.70 in	54°/49° · 0.61 in	49°/42° · 0.16 in	48°/39° · 0.00 in	52°/39° · 0.00 in	57°/42° · 0.00 in	60°/49° · 0.00 in
ICON	64°/55° · 0.08 in	57°/51° · 0.66 in	50°/41° · 0.01 in	45°/33° · 0.00 in	50°/35° · 0.00 in	52°/43° · 0.00 in	56°/45° · 0.00 in
GEM	64°/54° · 0.41 in	57°/51° · 0.83 in	51°/37° · 0.02 in	42°/25° · 0.00 in	49°/23° · 0.00 in	52°/37° · 0.00 in	57°/37° · 0.00 in
JMA	65°/55° · 0.21 in	55°/49° · 0.54 in	51°/43° · 0.07 in	43°/38° · 0.00 in	59°/37° · 0.00 in	54°/42° · 0.00 in	58°/38° · 0.00 in
ARPEGE	63°/55° · 0.51 in	54°/52° · 0.65 in	51°/43° · 0.08 in	45°/36° · 0.00 in	47°/35° · 0.00 in	-	-
UKMO	65°/55° · 0.18 in	55°/51° · 1.00 in	51°/42° · 0.00 in	42°/39° · 0.00 in	49°/38° · 0.00 in	51°/43° · 0.00 in	56°/42° · 0.00 in
CMA	56°/47° · 0.19 in	52°/47° · 0.42 in	47°/37° · 0.09 in	40°/31° · 0.00 in	47°/32° · 0.00 in	-	-

Where the models disagree: Thursday

Confidence is only 58/100. GFS brings 0.16 in of rain while UKMO has 0.00 in; highs range from 47° (CMA) to 51° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.