Today
3 Nov
83° 67°
89%0.33 in
68%
9 weather models · one stack
Houston weather
Texas, United States
29.77°, -95.33° · 14 m
Local time 19:16
Confidence 68%
Houston weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 83°F and a low of 67°F. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 0.33 in. Tomorrow: 75°F. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
75° 60°
0%0.00 in
83%
Thu
5 Nov
79° 58°
11%0.00 in
70%
Fri
6 Nov
79° 65°
0%0.00 in
86%
Sat
7 Nov
74° 63°
0%0.00 in
82%
Sun
8 Nov
67° 58°
43%0.00 in
25%
Mon
9 Nov
71° 55°
14%0.00 in
36%
Tue
10 Nov
73° 56°
33%0.01 in
29%
Wed
11 Nov
72° 59°
40%0.00 in
35%
Thu
12 Nov
76° 61°
40%0.00 in
35%
Fri
13 Nov
78° 60°
25%0.00 in
62%
Sat
14 Nov
80° 65°
33%0.00 in
18%
Sun
15 Nov
78° 62°
33%0.01 in
48%
Mon
16 Nov
77° 57°
0%0.00 in
54%
Tue
17 Nov
73° 59°
67%0.04 in
21%
Wed
18 Nov
75° 57°
50%0.38 in
28%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Houston
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Houston on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Houston
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 83°/67° · 0.33 in | 75°/60° · 0.00 in | 79°/58° · 0.00 in | 79°/65° · 0.00 in | 74°/63° · 0.00 in | 67°/58° · 0.00 in | 71°/55° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 82°/68° · 0.20 in | 76°/60° · 0.00 in | 79°/60° · 0.00 in | 80°/66° · 0.01 in | 76°/66° · 0.00 in | 66°/58° · 0.00 in | 73°/55° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 83°/67° · 0.26 in | 75°/58° · 0.00 in | 78°/55° · 0.00 in | 79°/63° · 0.00 in | 74°/61° · 0.02 in | 63°/55° · 0.17 in | 69°/50° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 83°/66° · 0.00 in | 72°/59° · 0.00 in | 79°/56° · 0.06 in | 83°/70° · 0.01 in | 79°/68° · 0.02 in | 69°/58° · 0.04 in | 71°/54° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 85°/65° · 0.30 in | 77°/57° · 0.00 in | 81°/54° · 0.00 in | 79°/60° · 0.00 in | 73°/55° · 0.00 in | 67°/47° · 0.00 in | 68°/55° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 87°/62° · 0.57 in | 71°/54° · 0.00 in | 76°/50° · 0.00 in | 80°/60° · 0.00 in | 73°/58° · 0.00 in | 61°/52° · 0.60 in | 56°/47° · 0.28 in |
| JMA | 79°/68° · 0.33 in | 75°/62° · 0.00 in | 80°/58° · 0.00 in | 79°/68° · 0.00 in | 76°/63° · 0.00 in | 75°/60° · 0.00 in | 76°/58° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 86°/68° · 0.47 in | 74°/62° · 0.00 in | 73°/59° · 0.00 in | 77°/65° · 0.00 in | 74°/64° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 84°/70° · 0.64 in | 76°/62° · 0.00 in | 79°/63° · 0.00 in | 79°/69° · 0.00 in | 75°/64° · 0.00 in | 67°/61° · 0.00 in | 71°/57° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 80°/67° · 0.33 in | 74°/61° · 0.00 in | 76°/63° · 0.00 in | 77°/63° · 0.00 in | 72°/60° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 25/100. GEM brings 0.60 in of rain while ECMWF has 0.00 in; highs range from 61° (GEM) to 75° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Houston weather: questions
Will it rain in Houston tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.00 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.00 in.
When will it rain next in Houston?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 89% of models, about 0.33 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Houston today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 82°F with 0.20 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 83°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 83°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Houston?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Houston forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 25/100): GEM forecasts 0.60 in of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology