Today
3 Nov
80° 70°
33%<0.01 in
57%
9 weather models · one stack
New Orleans weather
Louisiana, United States
29.98°, -90.10° · 12 m
Local time 19:17
Confidence 57%
New Orleans weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 80°F and a low of 70°F. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 0.08 in. Tomorrow: 78°F. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 0.05 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
78° 69°
56%0.05 in
48%
Thu
5 Nov
78° 64°
0%0.00 in
75%
Fri
6 Nov
76° 66°
11%0.00 in
76%
Sat
7 Nov
71° 61°
0%0.00 in
76%
Sun
8 Nov
67° 56°
14%0.00 in
65%
Mon
9 Nov
69° 58°
14%0.00 in
72%
Tue
10 Nov
71° 60°
17%0.00 in
73%
Wed
11 Nov
73° 61°
0%0.00 in
79%
Thu
12 Nov
73° 61°
0%0.00 in
77%
Fri
13 Nov
76° 62°
0%0.00 in
81%
Sat
14 Nov
77° 65°
33%0.02 in
55%
Sun
15 Nov
77° 66°
67%0.09 in
21%
Mon
16 Nov
77° 64°
33%0.00 in
16%
Tue
17 Nov
71° 61°
0%0.00 in
55%
Wed
18 Nov
72° 61°
50%0.18 in
10%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around New Orleans
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over New Orleans on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for New Orleans
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 80°/70° · <0.01 in | 78°/69° · 0.05 in | 78°/64° · 0.00 in | 76°/66° · 0.00 in | 71°/61° · 0.00 in | 67°/56° · 0.00 in | 69°/58° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 80°/71° · 0.08 in | 78°/72° · 0.03 in | 77°/67° · 0.00 in | 76°/67° · 0.00 in | 72°/63° · 0.00 in | 67°/58° · 0.00 in | 67°/58° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 78°/70° · 0.05 in | 77°/67° · 0.09 in | 74°/63° · 0.00 in | 72°/61° · 0.00 in | 69°/59° · 0.00 in | 63°/53° · 0.00 in | 68°/55° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 81°/69° · 0.00 in | 79°/65° · 0.00 in | 83°/61° · 0.00 in | 77°/70° · 0.04 in | 78°/65° · 0.00 in | 67°/56° · 0.41 in | 66°/55° · 0.07 in |
| ICON | 79°/70° · <0.01 in | 76°/70° · 0.07 in | 76°/67° · 0.00 in | 74°/66° · 0.00 in | 68°/59° · 0.00 in | 67°/53° · 0.00 in | 71°/60° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 80°/69° · 0.00 in | 81°/64° · <0.01 in | 78°/63° · 0.00 in | 73°/62° · 0.00 in | 71°/61° · 0.00 in | 64°/58° · 0.00 in | 69°/58° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 76°/72° · 0.02 in | 78°/69° · 0.05 in | 72°/64° · 0.02 in | 75°/65° · 0.00 in | 73°/67° · 0.00 in | 72°/65° · 0.00 in | 71°/63° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 80°/70° · 0.00 in | 80°/71° · 0.06 in | 78°/67° · 0.00 in | 76°/67° · 0.00 in | 73°/63° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 78°/70° · 0.06 in | 79°/70° · 0.02 in | 78°/63° · 0.00 in | 77°/64° · 0.00 in | 71°/60° · 0.00 in | 65°/53° · 0.00 in | 69°/51° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 80°/67° · 0.00 in | 78°/69° · 0.17 in | 80°/69° · 0.02 in | 76°/66° · 0.00 in | 70°/60° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 48/100. CMA brings 0.17 in of rain while GFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 76° (ICON) to 81° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
New Orleans weather: questions
Will it rain in New Orleans tomorrow?
Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 0.05 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.05 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.17 in.
When will it rain next in New Orleans?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 56% of models, about 0.05 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for New Orleans today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 80°F with 0.08 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 81°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 80°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for New Orleans?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the New Orleans forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 48/100): CMA forecasts 0.17 in of rain while GFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:17 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology