Today
4 Nov
27° 13°
0%0.0 mm
79%
9 weather models · one stack
Perth weather
Western Australia, Australia
-31.95°, 115.81° · 23 m
Local time 09:14
Confidence 79%
Perth weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 27°C and a low of 13°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 29°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Thursday 12 November (60% of models, ~1.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
29° 15°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Fri
6 Nov
30° 16°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sat
7 Nov
27° 16°
0%0.0 mm
65%
Sun
8 Nov
25° 16°
0%0.0 mm
72%
Mon
9 Nov
25° 14°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Tue
10 Nov
26° 13°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Wed
11 Nov
28° 15°
20%0.0 mm
43%
Thu
12 Nov
27° 19°
60%1.2 mm
17%
Fri
13 Nov
27° 18°
0%0.0 mm
63%
Sat
14 Nov
26° 18°
0%0.0 mm
62%
Sun
15 Nov
27° 19°
33%0.0 mm
41%
Mon
16 Nov
26° 16°
67%2.4 mm
19%
Tue
17 Nov
27° 16°
100%2.7 mm
45%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 16°
100%1.5 mm
67%
Thu
19 Nov
23° 15°
100%1.5 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Perth
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Perth on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Perth
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 27°/13° · 0.0 mm | 29°/15° · 0.0 mm | 30°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 28°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 22°/17° · 0.0 mm | 21°/14° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 26°/12° · 0.0 mm | 28°/12° · 0.0 mm | 28°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/15° · 0.0 mm | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 28°/14° · 0.0 mm | 29°/15° · 0.0 mm | 30°/16° · 0.0 mm | 29°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/14° · 0.0 mm | 27°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 28°/13° · 0.0 mm | 29°/13° · 0.0 mm | 29°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 28°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 28°/13° · 0.0 mm | 31°/13° · 0.0 mm | 31°/16° · 0.0 mm | 31°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm | 27°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm | 29°/16° · 0.0 mm | 31°/19° · 0.0 mm | 27°/19° · 0.0 mm | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 27°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 27°/14° · 0.0 mm | 30°/15° · 0.0 mm | 30°/17° · 0.0 mm | 28°/17° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 28°/13° · 0.0 mm | 30°/15° · 0.0 mm | 30°/15° · 0.0 mm | 29°/15° · 0.0 mm | 25°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 26°/13° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 29°/16° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 21°/15° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 65/100. ECMWF brings 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 23° (CMA) to 31° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Perth weather: questions
Will it rain in Perth tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Perth?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 12 November: 60% of models, about 1.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Perth today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 24°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 28°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 27°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Perth?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Perth forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 65/100): ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology