Today
3 Nov
31° 23°
100%5.2 mm
78%
9 weather models · one stack
Havana weather
Havana, Cuba
23.09°, -82.37° · 41 m
Local time 20:18
Confidence 78%
Havana weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 31°C and a low of 23°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 5.2 mm. Tomorrow: 29°C. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 3.8 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
29° 23°
33%0.0 mm
56%
Thu
5 Nov
29° 24°
22%0.3 mm
68%
Fri
6 Nov
29° 24°
22%0.0 mm
67%
Sat
7 Nov
29° 24°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Sun
8 Nov
29° 23°
14%0.0 mm
77%
Mon
9 Nov
28° 24°
14%0.0 mm
73%
Tue
10 Nov
29° 23°
0%0.1 mm
78%
Wed
11 Nov
29° 23°
20%0.0 mm
63%
Thu
12 Nov
28° 23°
40%0.2 mm
46%
Fri
13 Nov
28° 22°
50%0.6 mm
46%
Sat
14 Nov
29° 22°
33%0.0 mm
43%
Sun
15 Nov
30° 21°
67%8.1 mm
38%
Mon
16 Nov
28° 23°
67%3.0 mm
51%
Tue
17 Nov
28° 23°
67%3.2 mm
47%
Wed
18 Nov
27° 24°
100%1.7 mm
65%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Havana
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Havana on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Havana
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 31°/23° · 5.2 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.3 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 32°/22° · 3.3 mm | 28°/22° · 3.8 mm | 29°/24° · 0.6 mm | 29°/24° · 0.3 mm | 28°/24° · 0.6 mm | 29°/23° · 0.6 mm | 29°/24° · 2.1 mm |
| AIFS | 31°/22° · 2.2 mm | 29°/23° · 2.0 mm | 29°/24° · 1.2 mm | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.6 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 31°/23° · 8.7 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.4 mm | 28°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 32°/22° · 2.2 mm | 29°/22° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.3 mm | 28°/25° · 1.6 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 30°/23° · 6.1 mm | 28°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.1 mm | 29°/24° · 3.1 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/23° · 0.0 mm | 31°/25° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 31°/23° · 5.2 mm | 29°/23° · 0.8 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 28°/24° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 27°/25° · 2.0 mm | 27°/25° · 3.4 mm | 27°/26° · 0.0 mm | 27°/26° · 0.6 mm | 27°/26° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 31°/23° · 7.1 mm | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/25° · 0.2 mm | 29°/24° · 0.0 mm | 29°/25° · 0.3 mm | 29°/24° · 1.2 mm | 28°/25° · 0.6 mm |
| CMA | 30°/23° · 5.7 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 28°/25° · 2.4 mm | 28°/25° · 0.0 mm | 28°/24° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Wednesday
Confidence is only 56/100. ECMWF brings 3.8 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 27° (ARPEGE) to 30° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Havana weather: questions
Will it rain in Havana tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 3.8 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 3.8 mm.
When will it rain next in Havana?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 100% of models, about 5.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Havana today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 32°C with 3.3 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 31°C with 8.7 mm. The median of all 9 models is 31°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Havana?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Havana forecast this week?
The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 56/100): ECMWF forecasts 3.8 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:17 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology